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Uros Medic vs Kevin Holland prediction

Welterweight · Gane vs Hokit · 14 Nov 2026
UFC 8-3 · Pro 14-3
VS
UFC 16-12 (1 draw/NC) · Pro 29-15

Prediction

early read
Uros Medic 50%
50%50%
as of 11 Oct 2026, 09:03 UTC

By the numbers

  • Finishers

    Both fighters finish: at least two thirds of their UFC wins ended inside the distance. When two finishers meet, 64% of UFC fights end inside the distance (354 of 550 fights). Across every UFC fight it is 53%.

  • Reach

    Holland has 10 inches more reach. A reach advantage of 7 inches or more wins 60% of UFC fights (223 of 375 fights).

  • Win streaks

    Medic comes in on a 4-fight UFC winning run. A fighter on a run of 4 or 5 against an opponent on a shorter one wins 57% of the time (367 of 639 fights).

History leans Holland on 1 of these; our early read still favours Medic.

Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.

Tale of the tape

The facts, side by side — Uros Medic vs Kevin Holland.

Red corner UrosMedic“The Doctor”Kings MMA · Born in Novi Sad, Serbia, FR Yugoslavia · Fights out of Anchorage, Alaska, United States
VSUpcoming
Blue corner KevinHolland“Trailblazer”Phalanx MMA Academy · Born in Riverside, California, United States · Fights out of Fort Worth, Texas, United States
WelterweightPicks published · graded in public after the card
The story
  • Comes in on a 4-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 11 of 16 UFC wins.
  • Every one of Medic’s 8 UFC wins came inside the distance.
  • 29 UFC bouts deep — 18 more than Medic.
14-3
Record
29-15
33
Age
33
6' 1"
Height
+2″6' 3"
71″
Reach
+10″81″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
11
UFC bouts
+1829
+31%8/8100% of wins
Finishes
11/1669% of wins
Kings MMA
Gym
Phalanx MMA Academy
Novi Sad, Serbia, FR Yugoslavia
Born in
Riverside, California, United States
Anchorage, Alaska, United States
Fights out of
Fort Worth, Texas, United States
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s.
All the vitals, as a table
UFC 8-3UFC recordUFC 16-12 (1 draw/NC)
14-3Pro record29-15
The DoctorNicknameTrailblazer
6' 1"Height6' 3"
71"Reach81"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
33Age33
170 lbs.Weight170 lbs.
United StatesNationalityUnited States
Novi Sad, Serbia, FR YugoslaviaBorn inRiverside, California, United States
Anchorage, Alaska, United StatesFights out ofFort Worth, Texas, United States
Kings MMACampPhalanx MMA Academy
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Uros MedicKevin Holland
93
Striking
76
56
Defence
47
38
Grappling / TD
34
83 limited sample
Cardio
4
36
Chin
80
61
Fight IQ
48
Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Uros Medic11 UFC fights · 224 landed

68.3%
HEAD
54.6%
21.4%
BODY
18.8%
10.3%
LEGS
26.6%

Kevin Holland29 UFC fights · 1,288 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Uros Medic

0.34takedowns / 15 min
0.34 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.79 / 15m
0.68 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
2.19 / 15m
50%
ACCURACY
36%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.60 / 15m

Kevin Holland

0.79takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.27 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Welterweight

Stats comparison

Uros Medic (left) vs Kevin Holland (right) — career striking & grappling rates.

Strikes landed / min
5.77
vs
4.24
Striking accuracy
60%
vs
49%
Strikes absorbed / min
3.4
vs
3.21
Striking defence
56%
vs
50%
Takedowns / 15 min
0.34
vs
0.79
Takedown accuracy
50%
vs
36%
Takedown defence
55%
vs
57%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0
vs
0.6
Career averages from public UFC statistics.

Bios

Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.

Uros MedicFightIQ profilePower striker

6' 1" southpaw power striker campaigning at Welterweight. 8 UFC wins — 8 KO/TKO.

Built from Uros Medic’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →
Kevin HollandFightIQ profileAll-rounder

6' 3" orthodox all-rounder campaigning at Welterweight. 16 UFC wins — 5 KO/TKO, 6 submission, 5 decision.

Built from Kevin Holland’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →

Go deeper

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