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Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit prediction

Heavyweight Title · Gane vs Hokit · 14 Nov 2026
UFC 11-2 (1 draw/NC) · Pro 14-2
VS
UFC 4-0 · Pro 10-0

Prediction

early read
Ciryl Gane 58%
58%42%
as of 11 Oct 2026, 09:03 UTC

By the numbers

  • Title fights

    A title fight. Gane has been in 5 UFC title fights before; Hokit has not. The fighter with title-fight experience wins 65% of these (136 of 209 fights).

  • Age

    Hokit is 7 years younger. With an age gap of 6 to 7 years, the younger fighter wins 60% of UFC fights (637 of 1,058 fights).

  • Reach

    Gane has 8 inches more reach. A reach advantage of 7 inches or more wins 60% of UFC fights (223 of 375 fights).

  • Win streaks

    Hokit comes in on a 4-fight UFC winning run. A fighter on a run of 4 or 5 against an opponent on a shorter one wins 57% of the time (367 of 639 fights).

History leans Hokit on 2 of these; our early read still favours Gane.

Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.

Tale of the tape

The facts, side by side — Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit.

Red corner CirylGane“Bon Gamin”MMA Factory · Born in La Roche-sur-Yon, Vendée, France · Fights out of Paris, France
VSUpcoming
Blue corner JoshHokitJackson-Wink MMA · Born in Bakersfield, California, United States · Fights out of Clovis, California, United States
Heavyweight TitlePicks published · graded in public after the card
The story
  • Has finished 7 of 11 UFC wins.
  • Unbeaten — 4-0 in the UFC.
  • 14 UFC bouts deep — 10 more than Hokit.
  • Has finished 3 of 4 UFC wins.
14-2
Record
10-0
36
Age
−8 yr28
+3″6' 4"
Height
6' 1"
+8″81″
Reach
73″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+1014
UFC bouts
4
7/1164% of wins
Finishes
+11%3/475% of wins
MMA Factory
Gym
Jackson-Wink MMA
La Roche-sur-Yon, Vendée, France
Born in
Bakersfield, California, United States
Paris, France
Fights out of
Clovis, California, United States
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s.
All the vitals, as a table
UFC 11-2 (1 draw/NC)UFC recordUFC 4-0
14-2Pro record10-0
Bon GaminNickname—
6' 4"Height6' 1"
81"Reach73"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
36Age28
247 lbs.Weight235 lbs.
FranceNationalityUnited States
La Roche-sur-Yon, Vendée, FranceBorn inBakersfield, California, United States
Paris, FranceFights out ofClovis, California, United States
MMA FactoryCampJackson-Wink MMA
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Ciryl GaneJosh Hokit
90
Striking
94
82
Defence
38
22
Grappling / TD
55
61
Cardio
89 limited sample
95
Chin
82
70
Fight IQ
72
Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Ciryl Gane14 UFC fights · 983 landed

44.5%
HEAD
90.0%
26.6%
BODY
8.4%
28.9%
LEGS
1.6%

Josh Hokit4 UFC fights · 309 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Ciryl Gane

0.66takedowns / 15 min
0.66 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
3.73 / 15m
2.87 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
7.94 / 15m
23%
ACCURACY
47%
0.60 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.40 / 15m

Josh Hokit

3.73takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (6.29 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Heavyweight

Stats comparison

Ciryl Gane (left) vs Josh Hokit (right) — career striking & grappling rates.

Strikes landed / min
5.4
vs
9.29
Striking accuracy
61%
vs
64%
Strikes absorbed / min
2.31
vs
5.28
Striking defence
60%
vs
48%
Takedowns / 15 min
0.66
vs
3.73
Takedown accuracy
23%
vs
47%
Takedown defence
47%
vs
77%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.6
vs
0.4
Career averages from public UFC statistics.

Bios

Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.

Ciryl GaneFightIQ profileKnockout puncher

6' 4" orthodox knockout puncher campaigning at Heavyweight. 11 UFC wins — 5 KO/TKO, 2 submission, 4 decision.

Built from Ciryl Gane’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →
Josh HokitFightIQ profilePower striker

6' 1" orthodox power striker campaigning at Heavyweight. 4 UFC wins — 3 KO/TKO, 1 decision.

Built from Josh Hokit’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →

Go deeper

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