Bilal Hasan vs Luis Gurule Prediction & Odds

Prediction

early read

Bilal Hasan 80%

80%20%

as of 11 Oct 2026, 09:03 UTC

By the numbers

Age
Hasan is 7 years younger. With an age gap of 6 to 7 years, the younger fighter wins 60% of UFC fights (637 of 1,058 fights).
How we know →

Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.

Tale of the tape

The facts, side by side — Bilal Hasan vs Luis Gurule.

Red corner BilalHasanCharlie's Combat Club · Hometown (per Sherdog): Everett, Washington

VSUpcoming

Blue corner LuisGurule“Grim”Factory X · Hometown (per Sherdog): Sheridan, Colorado

FlyweightPicks published · graded in public after the card

The story

Lands 3.6 more significant strikes a minute than Gurule.
5 UFC bouts deep — 4 more than Hasan.
Carries 60 points more takedown defence than Hasan.

10-0

Record

11-4

−7 yr25

Age

+2″5' 7"

Height

5' 5"

+6″70″

Reach

64″

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

UFC bouts

+45

1/1100% of wins

Finishes

0/10% of wins

Charlie's Combat Club

Gym

Factory X

Everett, Washingtonhometown, per Sherdog

From

Sheridan, Coloradohometown, per Sherdog

Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s.

All the vitals, as a table

UFC 1-0	UFC record	UFC 1-4
10-0	Pro record	11-4
—	Nickname	Grim
5' 7"	Height	5' 5"
70"	Reach	64"
Switch	Stance	Orthodox
25	Age	32
125 lbs.	Weight	125 lbs.
United States	Nationality	United States
Everett, Washington	Hometown (per Sherdog)	Sheridan, Colorado
Charlie's Combat Club	Camp	Factory X

Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Bilal HasanLuis Gurule

Striking

Defence

Grappling / TD

55 limited sample

CardioRound-2 tape only

50 limited sample

Chin

Fight IQ

Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Bilal Hasan1 UFC fights · 53 landed

Limited sample

52.9%

HEAD

74.7%

37.7%

BODY

10.1%

9.4%

LEGS

15.2%

Luis Gurule5 UFC fights · 277 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Bilal Hasan

1.83 / 15m

TAKEDOWNS

0.64 / 15m

1.83 / 15m

ATTEMPTS

4.27 / 15m

100%

ACCURACY

15%

0.00 / 15m

SUB ATT

0.20 / 15m

Luis Gurule

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.00 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Flyweight

Stats comparison

Bilal Hasan (left) vs Luis Gurule (right) — career striking & grappling rates.

Strikes landed / min

9.01

5.44

Striking accuracy

47%

43%

Strikes absorbed / min

4.38

5.35

Striking defence

50%

57%

Takedowns / 15 min

1.83

0.64

Takedown accuracy

100%

15%

Takedown defence

60%

Sub attempts / 15 min

0.2

Career averages from public UFC statistics.

Bios

Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.

Bilal HasanFightIQ profileVolume striker

5' 7" switch volume striker campaigning at Flyweight. 1 UFC win — 1 KO/TKO.

Built from Bilal Hasan’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →

Luis GuruleFightIQ profileTechnical striker

5' 5" orthodox technical striker campaigning at Flyweight. 1 UFC win — 1 decision.

Built from Luis Gurule’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →

Go deeper

Bilal Hasan’s fighter page →Luis Gurule’s fighter page →Every current pick →

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Bilal Hasan vs Luis Gurule prediction