This Saturday Buckley vs Malott · Rogers Place Edmonton AB Canada See this week's picks →
Picks · Gane vs Hokit ·

Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes prediction

Women's Bantamweight Title · Gane vs Hokit · 14 Nov 2026
UFC 3-0 · Pro 19-1
VS
UFC 16-2 · Pro 23-5

Prediction

early read
Kayla Harrison 63%
63%37%
as of 11 Oct 2026, 09:03 UTC

By the numbers

  • Age

    Harrison is 2 years younger. With an age gap of 2 to 3 years, the younger fighter wins 57% of UFC fights (1,252 of 2,209 fights).

  • Win streaks

    Harrison comes in on a 3-fight UFC winning run. A fighter on a run of 3 against an opponent on a shorter one wins 56% of the time (435 of 773 fights).

Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.

Tale of the tape

The facts, side by side — Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes.

Red corner KaylaHarrisonAmerican Top Team · Born in Middletown, Ohio, United States · Fights out of Coconut Creek, Florida, United States
VSUpcoming
Blue corner AmandaNunes“The Lioness”Lioness Studio · Hometown (per Sherdog): Salvador, Bahia
Women's Bantamweight TitlePicks published · graded in public after the card
The story
  • Comes in on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 2 of 3 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 10 of 16 UFC wins.
19-1
Record
23-5
−2 yr36
Age
38
5' 8"
Height
5' 8"
66″
Reach
+3″69″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
3
UFC bouts
+1518
+4%2/367% of wins
Finishes
10/1662% of wins
American Top Team
Gym
Lioness Studio
Coconut Creek, Florida, United Statesfights out of
From
Salvador, Bahiahometown, per Sherdog
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s.
All the vitals, as a table
UFC 3-0UFC recordUFC 16-2
19-1Pro record23-5
—NicknameThe Lioness
5' 8"Height5' 8"
66"Reach69"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
36Age38
135 lbs.Weight135 lbs.
United StatesNationalityBrazil
Middletown, Ohio, United StatesBorn in—
Coconut Creek, Florida, United StatesFights out of—
—Hometown (per Sherdog)Salvador, Bahia
American Top TeamCampLioness Studio
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Kayla HarrisonAmanda Nunes
86
Striking
79
97
Defence
75
73
Grappling / TD
78
65 limited sample
Cardio
59
46 limited sample
Chin
78
73
Fight IQ
74
Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Kayla Harrison3 UFC fights · 136 landed

Limited sample
71.3%
HEAD
67.7%
19.9%
BODY
13.4%
8.8%
LEGS
18.9%

Amanda Nunes18 UFC fights · 928 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Kayla Harrison

2.84takedowns / 15 min
2.84 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
2.73 / 15m
7.68 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
5.06 / 15m
37%
ACCURACY
54%
0.90 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.70 / 15m

Amanda Nunes

2.73takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.00 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Women's Bantamweight

Stats comparison

Kayla Harrison (left) vs Amanda Nunes (right) — career striking & grappling rates.

Strikes landed / min
4.29
vs
4.55
Striking accuracy
62%
vs
51%
Strikes absorbed / min
1.1
vs
2.62
Striking defence
66%
vs
57%
Takedowns / 15 min
2.84
vs
2.73
Takedown accuracy
37%
vs
54%
Takedown defence
100%
vs
82%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.9
vs
0.7
Career averages from public UFC statistics.

Bios

Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.

Kayla HarrisonFightIQ profileGrappling-led all-rounder

5' 8" southpaw grappling-led all-rounder campaigning at Women's Bantamweight. 3 UFC wins — 2 submission, 1 decision.

Built from Kayla Harrison’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →
Amanda NunesFightIQ profileKnockout puncher

5' 8" orthodox knockout puncher campaigning at Women's Bantamweight. 16 UFC wins — 7 KO/TKO, 3 submission, 6 decision.

Built from Amanda Nunes’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →

Go deeper

Elsewhere on the card

← Back to the picks