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Drew Dober vs Chris Duncan prediction
Lightweight · Gane vs Hokit · 14 Nov 2026
Duncan is 4 years younger. With an age gap of 4 to 5 years, the younger fighter wins 56% of UFC fights (929 of 1,653 fights).
Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.
The facts, side by side — Drew Dober vs Chris Duncan.
| UFC 15-11 (1 draw/NC) | UFC record | UFC 6-2 |
| 29-15 | Pro record | 15-3 |
| — | Nickname | The Problem |
| 5' 8" | Height | 5' 10" |
| 70" | Reach | 71" |
| Southpaw | Stance | Orthodox |
| 37 | Age | 33 |
| 155 lbs. | Weight | 155 lbs. |
| United States | Nationality | Scotland |
| Omaha, Nebraska, United States | Born in | Alloa, Scotland |
| Denver, Colorado, United States | Fights out of | Alloa, Scotland |
| Elevation Fight Team | Camp | American Top Team |
Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.
Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Drew Dober27 UFC fights · 994 landed
Chris Duncan8 UFC fights · 321 landed
Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Drew Dober
Chris Duncan
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.19 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Drew Dober (left) vs Chris Duncan (right) — career striking & grappling rates.
Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.
5' 8" southpaw power striker campaigning at Lightweight. 15 UFC wins — 11 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 3 decision.
5' 10" orthodox submission grappler campaigning at Lightweight. 6 UFC wins — 3 submission, 3 decision.