Built from Chris Duncan’s own numbers — record, form, fighting style and standout rate. Not reported prose. Submission grappler
5' 10" orthodox submission grappler campaigning at Lightweight. 6 UFC wins — 3 submission, 3 decision. Top 13% of Lightweights: lands 4.83 significant strikes a minute.
The facts, plainly — vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register. A field we can't source stays “pending”; it never shows a fake value.
| Nickname | The Problem |
| Nationality | Scotland |
| Hometown | Alloa, East Ayrshire |
| Fighting out of | American Top Team |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Reach | 71.0" |
| Stance | Orthodox |
| Age | 33 |
| Date of birth | May 10, 1993 |
| Weight | 155 lbs. |
| Pro record | 15-3 |
| Finish split | 6 UFC wins — 3 submission, 3 decision |
Career averages over Chris Duncan’s UFC bouts, straight from public UFC statistics — the same eight numbers on his official record. These are the source’s figures, not our read: what we make of them is the card below.
Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the Lightweight field — not against the whole roster. Tap any i for what a score measures.
Every fight of Chris Duncan’s that we called in the live 2026 season — whichever corner we called it for. Posted before the fight, graded after it.
FightIQ has called 1 of Chris Duncan’s fights in 2026: 0 correct (0–1 — 0% right). Each call was posted before the fight and graded after it. The confidence % is the number we stood behind at the time — losses shown, toss-ups included.
| Date | Opponent | We called it for | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Renato Moicano | Chris Duncan | 57% | Missed |
Across our full back-tested history we called 7 of Chris Duncan’s fights, 4 correct. Back-tested, not part of the public timestamped record: these were computed after the fact, so they show the model working on old cards — they were never published ahead of those fights.
Where the strikes go — and where they land on him. Career UFC totals, straight off the tape.
Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
The level change — how often it lands, how often it is stopped. Career UFC rates, straight off the tape.
Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.22 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
Pro record: 15-3. In the UFC: 6-2. Chris Duncan’s last 8 UFC bouts, most recent first — the result in the cage, not our pick.
Straight off the official UFC fight record. Card names are left off on purpose: the only event labels in our data are derived, and we’d rather print nothing than print one that’s wrong.
| Date | Opponent | Method | Rd | Event | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | L | Renato Moicano | Submission | R2 | UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan |
| 2025-12-06 | W | Terrance McKinney | Submission | R1 | UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 |
| 2025-08-02 | W | Mateusz Rebecki | Decision (unanimous) | R3 | UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park |
| 2025-03-22 | W | Jordan Vucenic | Submission | R2 | UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady |
| 2024-09-28 | W | Bolaji Oki | Submission | R1 | UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis |
| 2024-02-24 | L | Manuel Torres | Submission | R1 | UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 |
| 2023-07-22 | W | Yanal Ashmouz | Decision (unanimous) | R3 | UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
| 2023-03-18 | W | Omar Morales | Decision (split) | R3 | UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 |
Every date links to that bout’s own page. Card names come from the official event record; where the UFC ran two cards on one date, or that record has no row for it, the Event column is left empty rather than filled with a guess.
