Picks · Prochazka vs Stirling ·
Amir Albazi vs Alessandro Costa prediction
Flyweight · Prochazka vs Stirling · 21 Nov 2026
A rematch: Albazi beat Costa in their last meeting (December 2022, by knockout). In UFC rematches, the winner of the last meeting wins again 60% of the time (116 of 194 fights).
Costa is 2 years younger. With an age gap of 2 to 3 years, the younger fighter wins 57% of UFC fights (1,252 of 2,209 fights).
Costa comes in on a 3-fight UFC winning run. A fighter on a run of 3 against an opponent on a shorter one wins 56% of the time (435 of 773 fights).
History leans Albazi on 1 of these; our early read still favours Costa.
Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.
The facts, side by side — Amir Albazi vs Alessandro Costa.
| UFC 5-2 | UFC record | UFC 5-3 |
| 17-3 | Pro record | 17-5 |
| The Prince | Nickname | Nono |
| 5' 5" | Height | 5' 4" |
| 68" | Reach | 67" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 32 | Age | 30 |
| 125 lbs. | Weight | 125 lbs. |
| Iraq | Nationality | Brazil |
| Baghdad, Iraq | Born in | — |
| Baghdad, Iraq | Fights out of | — |
| — | Hometown (per Sherdog) | Manaus, Amazonas |
| Xtreme Couture | Camp | Lobo Gym MMA |
Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.
Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Amir Albazi7 UFC fights · 251 landed
Alessandro Costa8 UFC fights · 277 landed
Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Amir Albazi
Alessandro Costa
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.00 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Amir Albazi (left) vs Alessandro Costa (right) — career striking & grappling rates.
Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.
5' 5" orthodox all-rounder campaigning at Flyweight. 5 UFC wins — 1 KO/TKO, 2 submission, 2 decision.
5' 4" orthodox power striker campaigning at Flyweight. 5 UFC wins — 4 KO/TKO, 1 submission.