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Jared Cannonier vs Ikram Aliskerov prediction

Middleweight · Prochazka vs Stirling · 21 Nov 2026
UFC 11-10 · Pro 18-10
VS
UFC 5-1 · Pro 18-2

Prediction

early read
Ikram Aliskerov 78%
22%78%
as of 11 Oct 2026, 09:03 UTC

By the numbers

  • Age

    Aliskerov is 8 years younger. With an age gap of 8 to 9 years, the younger fighter wins 65% of UFC fights (413 of 634 fights).

  • Win streaks

    Aliskerov comes in on a 3-fight UFC winning run. A fighter on a run of 3 against an opponent on a shorter one wins 56% of the time (435 of 773 fights).

Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.

Tale of the tape

The facts, side by side — Jared Cannonier vs Ikram Aliskerov.

Red corner JaredCannonier“The Killa Gorilla”MMA Lab · Born in Dallas, Texas, United States · Fights out of Phoenix, Arizona, United States
VSUpcoming
Blue corner IkramAliskerovKHK MMA · Born in Kasumkent, Dagestan, Russia · Fights out of Makhachkala, Dagestan, Russia
MiddleweightPicks published · graded in public after the card
The story
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Comes in on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 7 of 11 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 3 of 5 UFC wins.
18-10
Record
18-2
42
Age
−9 yr33
5' 11"
Height
+1″6' 0"
+1″77″
Reach
76″
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
+1521
UFC bouts
6
+4%7/1164% of wins
Finishes
3/560% of wins
MMA Lab
Gym
KHK MMA
Dallas, Texas, United States
Born in
Kasumkent, Dagestan, Russia
Phoenix, Arizona, United States
Fights out of
Makhachkala, Dagestan, Russia
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s.
All the vitals, as a table
UFC 11-10UFC recordUFC 5-1
18-10Pro record18-2
The Killa GorillaNickname—
5' 11"Height6' 0"
77"Reach76"
SwitchStanceSouthpaw
42Age33
185 lbs.Weight185 lbs.
United StatesNationalityRussia
Dallas, Texas, United StatesBorn inKasumkent, Dagestan, Russia
Phoenix, Arizona, United StatesFights out ofMakhachkala, Dagestan, Russia
MMA LabCampKHK MMA
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Jared CannonierIkram Aliskerov
74
Striking
92
46
Defence
30
37
Grappling / TD
71
69
Cardio
79
46
Chin
51
54
Fight IQ
65
Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Jared Cannonier21 UFC fights · 1,245 landed

62.6%
HEAD
64.8%
20.2%
BODY
24.9%
17.2%
LEGS
10.3%

Ikram Aliskerov6 UFC fights · 233 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Jared Cannonier

0.77takedowns / 15 min
0.77 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
3.82 / 15m
1.71 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
5.62 / 15m
45%
ACCURACY
68%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.70 / 15m

Ikram Aliskerov

3.82takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (6.86 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Middleweight

Stats comparison

Jared Cannonier (left) vs Ikram Aliskerov (right) — career striking & grappling rates.

Strikes landed / min
4.25
vs
5.56
Striking accuracy
49%
vs
60%
Strikes absorbed / min
4.36
vs
4.01
Striking defence
55%
vs
45%
Takedowns / 15 min
0.77
vs
3.82
Takedown accuracy
45%
vs
68%
Takedown defence
64%
vs
100%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0
vs
0.7
Career averages from public UFC statistics.

Bios

Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.

Jared CannonierFightIQ profilePower striker

5' 11" switch power striker campaigning at Middleweight. 11 UFC wins — 7 KO/TKO, 4 decision.

Built from Jared Cannonier’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →
Ikram AliskerovFightIQ profilePower striker

6' 0" southpaw power striker campaigning at Middleweight. 5 UFC wins — 3 KO/TKO, 2 decision.

Built from Ikram Aliskerov’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →

Go deeper

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