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Rodrigo Sezinando vs Theodor Berggren prediction
Welterweight · Moicano vs Nolan · 31 Oct 2026
Sezinando’s first UFC fight in 14 months. A fighter coming back after 1 to 2 years away, against an opponent active within the year, wins 41% of the time (377 of 929 fights).
Berggren is 2 years younger. With an age gap of 2 to 3 years, the younger fighter wins 57% of UFC fights (1,252 of 2,209 fights).
Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.
The facts, side by side — Rodrigo Sezinando vs Theodor Berggren.
| UFC 0-1 | UFC record | UFC 0-1 |
| 9-2 | Pro record | 8-4 |
| 5' 9" | Height | 5' 11" |
| 71" | Reach | 75" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Switch |
| 28 | Age | 26 |
| 170 lbs. | Weight | 170 lbs. |
| Brazil | Nationality | Sweden |
| Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro | Hometown (per Sherdog) | — |
| Nova Uniao | Camp | Renyi |
Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.
Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Rodrigo Sezinando1 UFC fights · 10 landed
Limited sampleTheodor Berggren1 UFC fights · 23 landed
Limited sampleSignificant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
The level change — how often it lands, how often it is stopped. Career UFC rates, straight off the tape.
Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.27 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
Rodrigo Sezinando (left) vs Theodor Berggren (right) — career striking & grappling rates.
Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.
5' 9" orthodox grappling-led all-rounder campaigning at Welterweight.
5' 11" switch all-rounder campaigning at Welterweight.