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Azamat Bekoev vs Andre Petroski prediction

Middleweight · Moicano vs Nolan · 31 Oct 2026
UFC 2-2 · Pro 20-5
VS
UFC 8-5 · Pro 13-6

Prediction

early read
Azamat Bekoev 56%
56%44%
as of 11 Oct 2026, 09:03 UTC

By the numbers

  • Age

    Bekoev is 4 years younger. With an age gap of 4 to 5 years, the younger fighter wins 56% of UFC fights (929 of 1,653 fights).

Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.

Tale of the tape

The facts, side by side — Azamat Bekoev vs Andre Petroski.

Red corner AzamatBekoev“Iron”American Top Team · Born in Vladikavkaz, North Ossetia, Russia · Fights out of Vladikavkaz, Russia
VSUpcoming
Blue corner AndrePetroskiRenzo Gracie Philly · Born in Springfield, Pennsylvania, United States
MiddleweightPicks published · graded in public after the card
The story
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Has dropped 3 straight in the UFC.
  • Lands 1.8 more significant strikes a minute than Petroski.
  • Has finished 3 of 8 UFC wins.
20-5
Record
13-6
−5 yr30
Age
35
6' 0"
Height
6' 0"
72″
Reach
+1″73″
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
4
UFC bouts
+913
2/2100% of wins
Finishes
3/838% of wins
American Top Team
Gym
Renzo Gracie Philly
Vladikavkaz, North Ossetia, Russia
Born in
Springfield, Pennsylvania, United States
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s.
All the vitals, as a table
UFC 2-2UFC recordUFC 8-5
20-5Pro record13-6
IronNickname—
6' 0"Height6' 0"
72"Reach73"
OrthodoxStanceSwitch
30Age35
185 lbs.Weight185 lbs.
RussiaNationalityUnited States
Vladikavkaz, North Ossetia, RussiaBorn inSpringfield, Pennsylvania, United States
Vladikavkaz, RussiaFights out of—
American Top TeamCampRenzo Gracie Philly
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Azamat BekoevAndre Petroski
82
Striking
58
8
Defence
52
68
Grappling / TD
73
18
Cardio
33
54
Chin
27
46
Fight IQ
49
Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Azamat Bekoev4 UFC fights · 138 landed

63.7%
HEAD
64.1%
28.3%
BODY
20.0%
8.0%
LEGS
15.9%

Andre Petroski13 UFC fights · 370 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Azamat Bekoev

3.48takedowns / 15 min
3.48 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
3.13 / 15m
8.09 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
6.02 / 15m
43%
ACCURACY
52%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
1.20 / 15m

Andre Petroski

3.13takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (6.86 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Middleweight

Stats comparison

Azamat Bekoev (left) vs Andre Petroski (right) — career striking & grappling rates.

Strikes landed / min
4.57
vs
2.75
Striking accuracy
52%
vs
49%
Strikes absorbed / min
6.83
vs
2.99
Striking defence
31%
vs
51%
Takedowns / 15 min
3.48
vs
3.13
Takedown accuracy
43%
vs
52%
Takedown defence
62%
vs
86%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0
vs
1.2
Career averages from public UFC statistics.

Bios

Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.

Azamat BekoevFightIQ profileGrappling-led all-rounder

6' 0" orthodox grappling-led all-rounder campaigning at Middleweight. 2 UFC wins — 2 KO/TKO.

Built from Azamat Bekoev’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →
Andre PetroskiFightIQ profileGrappling-led all-rounder

6' 0" switch grappling-led all-rounder campaigning at Middleweight. 8 UFC wins — 1 KO/TKO, 2 submission, 5 decision.

Built from Andre Petroski’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →

Go deeper

Elsewhere on the card

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