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Francis Marshall vs Gaston Bolanos prediction
Featherweight · Moicano vs Nolan · 31 Oct 2026
Marshall is 6 years younger. With an age gap of 6 to 7 years, the younger fighter wins 60% of UFC fights (637 of 1,058 fights).
Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.
The facts, side by side — Francis Marshall vs Gaston Bolanos.
| UFC 4-3 | UFC record | UFC 3-2 |
| 10-3 | Pro record | 9-5 |
| Fire | Nickname | The Dreamkiller |
| 5' 9" | Height | 5' 7" |
| 72" | Reach | 69" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 27 | Age | 34 |
| 145 lbs. | Weight | 145 lbs. |
| United States | Nationality | United States |
| Jersey City, New Jersey | Hometown (per Sherdog) | Dublin, California |
| American Top Team | Camp | CSA |
Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.
Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Francis Marshall7 UFC fights · 172 landed
Gaston Bolanos5 UFC fights · 236 landed
Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Francis Marshall
Gaston Bolanos
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.50 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Francis Marshall (left) vs Gaston Bolanos (right) — career striking & grappling rates.
Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.
5' 9" orthodox grappling-led all-rounder campaigning at Featherweight. 4 UFC wins — 1 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 2 decision.
5' 7" orthodox all-rounder campaigning at Bantamweight. 3 UFC wins — 3 decision.