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Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili prediction
Bantamweight Title · Volkanovski vs Evloev · 24 Oct 2026
A rematch: Yan beat Dvalishvili in their last meeting (December 2025, on the scorecards). In UFC rematches, the winner of the last meeting wins again 60% of the time (116 of 194 fights).
Both fighters go the distance: at least two thirds of their UFC wins came on the scorecards. When two decision winners meet, 31% of UFC fights end inside the distance (73 of 238 fights). Across every UFC fight it is 53%.
Yan comes in on a 4-fight UFC winning run. A fighter on a run of 4 or 5 against an opponent on a shorter one wins 57% of the time (367 of 639 fights).
Yan is 2 years younger. With an age gap of 2 to 3 years, the younger fighter wins 57% of UFC fights (1,252 of 2,209 fights).
Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.
The facts, side by side — Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili.
| UFC 12-4 | UFC record | UFC 14-3 |
| 20-5 | Pro record | 21-5 |
| No Mercy | Nickname | The Machine |
| 5' 7" | Height | 5' 6" |
| 67" | Reach | 68" |
| Switch | Stance | Orthodox |
| 33 | Age | 35 |
| 135 lbs. | Weight | 135 lbs. |
| Russia | Nationality | Georgia |
| Dudinka, Russia | Born in | Vani, Georgian SSR, Soviet Union |
| Yekaterinburg, Russia | Fights out of | Long Island, New York, United States |
| Archangel Michael Club | Camp | Serra-Longo Fight Team |
Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.
Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Petr Yan16 UFC fights · 1,456 landed
Merab Dvalishvili17 UFC fights · 1,322 landed
Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Petr Yan
Merab Dvalishvili
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.50 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Petr Yan (left) vs Merab Dvalishvili (right) — career striking & grappling rates.
Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.
5' 7" switch technical striker campaigning at Bantamweight. 12 UFC wins — 4 KO/TKO, 8 decision.
5' 6" orthodox wrestle-grinder campaigning at Bantamweight. 14 UFC wins — 1 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 12 decision.