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Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes prediction

Light Heavyweight · Volkanovski vs Evloev · 24 Oct 2026
UFC 6-1 · Pro 16-1
VS
UFC 10-5 · Pro 16-5

Prediction

early read
Dominick Reyes 62%
38%62%
as of 11 Oct 2026, 09:03 UTC

By the numbers

  • Finishers

    Both fighters finish: at least two thirds of their UFC wins ended inside the distance. When two finishers meet, 64% of UFC fights end inside the distance (354 of 550 fights). Across every UFC fight it is 53%.

Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.

Tale of the tape

The facts, side by side — Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes.

Red corner AzamatMurzakanov“The Professional”K Dojo Warrior Tribe · Born in Kyzburun III, Kabardino-Balkarian ASSR, Russian SFSR, Soviet Union, (now Dygulybgey, Kabardino-Balkaria, Russia) · Fights out of Fairfield, New Jersey, United States
VSUpcoming
Blue corner DominickReyes“The Devastator”
Light HeavyweightPicks published · graded in public after the card
The story
  • Has finished 5 of 6 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 7 of 10 UFC wins.
  • 15 UFC bouts deep — 8 more than Murzakanov.
16-1
Record
16-5
37
Age
−1 yr36
5' 10"
Height
+6″6' 4"
71″
Reach
+6″77″
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
7
UFC bouts
+815
+13%5/683% of wins
Finishes
7/1070% of wins
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s.
All the vitals, as a table
UFC 6-1UFC recordUFC 10-5
16-1Pro record16-5
The ProfessionalNicknameThe Devastator
5' 10"Height6' 4"
71"Reach77"
SouthpawStanceSouthpaw
37Age36
205 lbs.Weight205 lbs.
RussiaNationality—
Kyzburun III, Kabardino-Balkarian ASSR, Russian SFSR, Soviet Union, (now Dygulybgey, Kabardino-Balkaria, Russia)Born in—
Fairfield, New Jersey, United StatesFights out of—
K Dojo Warrior TribeCamp—
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Azamat MurzakanovDominick Reyes
82
Striking
81
65
Defence
50
16
Grappling / TD
15
78
Cardio
32
69
Chin
29
62
Fight IQ
41
Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Azamat Murzakanov7 UFC fights · 283 landed

71.0%
HEAD
56.3%
25.1%
BODY
24.0%
3.9%
LEGS
19.7%

Dominick Reyes15 UFC fights · 588 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Azamat Murzakanov

0.68takedowns / 15 min
0.68 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.25 / 15m
3.40 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
0.89 / 15m
20%
ACCURACY
28%
0.20 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.20 / 15m

Dominick Reyes

0.25takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (6.25 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Light Heavyweight

Stats comparison

Azamat Murzakanov (left) vs Dominick Reyes (right) — career striking & grappling rates.

Strikes landed / min
4.4
vs
4.99
Striking accuracy
56%
vs
53%
Strikes absorbed / min
3.2
vs
3.4
Striking defence
56%
vs
49%
Takedowns / 15 min
0.68
vs
0.25
Takedown accuracy
20%
vs
28%
Takedown defence
88%
vs
82%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.2
vs
0.2
Career averages from public UFC statistics.

Bios

Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.

Azamat MurzakanovFightIQ profilePower striker

5' 10" southpaw power striker campaigning at Light Heavyweight. 6 UFC wins — 5 KO/TKO, 1 decision.

Built from Azamat Murzakanov’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →
Dominick ReyesFightIQ profilePower striker

6' 4" southpaw power striker campaigning at Light Heavyweight. 10 UFC wins — 6 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 3 decision.

Built from Dominick Reyes’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →

Go deeper

Elsewhere on the card

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