Levi Rodrigues Jr. is 0-1 in the UFC, stopped by Felipe Franco in the second round on July 18 in a light heavyweight bout, and he is back about six weeks later. Liu Ce makes his UFC debut.
The read
The read is soft and the material behind it is thin: one UFC fight between the two men, and it ended in a knockout. Liu's path is the one the model's most likely method describes, landing something that finishes it, because nothing on record says how he handles a full three rounds in the UFC. Rodrigues owns the only octagon experience here, and his path is using it while making the July stoppage look like an outlier. The turnaround is the part the record can't speak to, and it may be the most important fact in the fight.
What decides it
- Rodrigues's only UFC appearance ended in a second-round knockout loss
- About six weeks between that stoppage and Saturday
- Rodrigues's path is the experience gap, since Liu has no UFC record in our data
- Three-round fight, and the model's most likely method is a knockout
- A modest lean at 56.2%, built on very little on either side