Eric Nolan has one UFC fight on his record, a second-round submission loss to Baisangur Susurkaev last August at middleweight. Farman Hasanov makes his UFC debut. The model still lands on Hasanov at 75.8%, a strong number with no UFC bout behind it for him.
The read
Hasanov is not a flagged pick, and the size of the number deserves more scepticism than it invites, because it is a projection rather than a judgment on anything the promotion has seen. Hasanov's path is whatever he brought in with him, and the model's method lean is a knockout. Nolan's path is the reverse of his one octagon night, staying out of trouble on the mat and pushing the fight into the third. On evidence, there is very little holding this one up.
What decides it
- Hasanov makes his UFC debut, nothing observed to measure him against
- Nolan's only octagon appearance ended by submission in the second
- Nolan's path is grappling defense and a fight that reaches the third round
- Three rounds, and the model's method lean is a knockout
- A big number on thin evidence, treat it carefully