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Davey Grant vs Elijah Smith prediction

Bantamweight · Bonfim vs Brady · 7 Nov 2026
UFC 9-7 · Pro 18-8
VS
UFC 3-0 · Pro 10-1

Prediction

early read
Elijah Smith 76%
24%76%
as of 11 Oct 2026, 09:03 UTC

By the numbers

  • Age

    Smith is 16 years younger. With an age gap of 10 years or more, the younger fighter wins 70% of UFC fights (353 of 508 fights).

  • Win streaks

    Smith comes in on a 3-fight UFC winning run. A fighter on a run of 3 against an opponent on a shorter one wins 56% of the time (435 of 773 fights).

Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.

Tale of the tape

The facts, side by side — Davey Grant vs Elijah Smith.

Red corner DaveyGrant“Dangerous”Syndicate MMA · Born in Darlington, County Durham, England · Fights out of Bishop Auckland, County Durham, England
VSUpcoming
Blue corner ElijahSmith“Swift”Team Victory · Hometown (per Sherdog): Colorado Springs, Colorado
BantamweightPicks published · graded in public after the card
The story
  • Has finished 4 of 9 UFC wins.
  • Comes in on a 3-fight win streak.
  • 16 UFC bouts deep — 13 more than Smith.
  • Has finished 2 of 3 UFC wins.
18-8
Record
10-1
40
Age
−16 yr24
5' 8"
Height
+1″5' 9"
69″
Reach
+2″71″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+1316
UFC bouts
3
4/944% of wins
Finishes
+22%2/367% of wins
Syndicate MMA
Gym
Team Victory
Bishop Auckland, County Durham, Englandfights out of
From
Colorado Springs, Coloradohometown, per Sherdog
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s.
All the vitals, as a table
UFC 9-7UFC recordUFC 3-0
18-8Pro record10-1
DangerousNicknameSwift
5' 8"Height5' 9"
69"Reach71"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
40Age24
135 lbs.Weight135 lbs.
EnglandNationalityUnited States
Darlington, County Durham, EnglandBorn in—
Bishop Auckland, County Durham, EnglandFights out of—
—Hometown (per Sherdog)Colorado Springs, Colorado
Syndicate MMACampTeam Victory
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Davey GrantElijah Smith
80
Striking
76
45
Defence
45
32
Grappling / TD
78
94
Cardio
51 limited sample
71
Chin
62 limited sample
64
Fight IQ
62
Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Davey Grant16 UFC fights · 1,063 landed

40.4%
HEAD
83.8%
32.6%
BODY
5.4%
27.0%
LEGS
10.8%

Elijah Smith3 UFC fights · 93 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Davey Grant

0.95takedowns / 15 min
0.95 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
2.98 / 15m
2.50 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
5.62 / 15m
38%
ACCURACY
53%
0.20 / 15m
SUB ATT
1.10 / 15m

Elijah Smith

2.98takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.50 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Bantamweight

Stats comparison

Davey Grant (left) vs Elijah Smith (right) — career striking & grappling rates.

Strikes landed / min
5.58
vs
4.18
Striking accuracy
45%
vs
48%
Strikes absorbed / min
4.04
vs
2.96
Striking defence
54%
vs
46%
Takedowns / 15 min
0.95
vs
2.98
Takedown accuracy
38%
vs
53%
Takedown defence
65%
vs
53%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.2
vs
1.1
Career averages from public UFC statistics.

Bios

Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.

Davey GrantFightIQ profileVolume boxer

5' 8" orthodox volume boxer campaigning at Bantamweight. 9 UFC wins — 3 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 5 decision.

Built from Davey Grant’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →
Elijah SmithFightIQ profileGrappling-led all-rounder

5' 9" orthodox grappling-led all-rounder campaigning at Bantamweight. 3 UFC wins — 1 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 1 decision.

Built from Elijah Smith’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →

Go deeper

Elsewhere on the card

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