Donte Johnson is 2-0 in the UFC, submitting Sedriques Dumas in the second round and taking a split decision from Cody Brundage. Eric McConico is 2-2 over four UFC appearances, with split-decision and unanimous wins over Brundage and Rodolfo Vieira against stoppage losses to Nursulton Ruziboev and Baisangur Susurkaev. The model has Johnson LOCK.
The read
LOCK tier on a fighter with two UFC fights to his name is unusual, and it means the model likes the way Johnson has won more than the fact that he has won twice. Johnson's path is the grappling that ended Dumas, carried into the later rounds if the split decision over Brundage is any guide. McConico's path is the durability question, since both of his losses came by stoppage and neither of his wins did. Most likely method is decision, and the tell is that both men own a split-decision win over Cody Brundage, which gives an unusually direct line of comparison for two fighters this early in their runs.
What decides it
- Johnson unbeaten in two UFC appearances
- Both men hold a split-decision win over Cody Brundage
- McConico's two losses both came by stoppage
- Middleweight three-rounder, decision the likeliest method
- LOCK tier on a short UFC sample