A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.
Run as an unbooked fight, this one splits our two reads — they do not name the same winner, so there is no lean here to give you.
Our two reads disagree. One leans Mario Bautista at 58%; the other leans Song Yadong at 54%. When they split like this there is no read worth having — treat it as a coin toss.
The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 62%.
Song Yadong vs Mario Bautista — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.
| UFC 13-4 (1 draw/NC) | UFC record | UFC 12-3 |
| 24-9-1 | Pro record | 18-3 |
| Kung Fu Kid | Nickname | — |
| 5' 8" | Height | 5' 9" |
| 67" | Reach | ▲69" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Switch |
| 28 | Age | 33 |
| 135 lbs. | Weight | 135 lbs. |
| — | Nationality | United States |
| — | Hometown | Phoenix, Arizona |
| — | Fighting out of | MMA Lab |
Song Yadong (left) vs Mario Bautista (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.
None.
Song Yadong and Mario Bautista have never met in the UFC.
Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.
Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.