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Compare · Fantasy matchups · Song Yadong vs Mario Bautista
Fantasy matchup

Song Yadong vs Mario BautistaFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

#3 at Bantamweight · #5 at Bantamweight
Not a booked fightFANTASY MATCHUP — this fight is not booked. What our two blind models would say if it were.
UFC 13-4 (1 draw/NC) · Pro 24-9-1
#3 at Bantamweight
VS
UFC 12-3 · Pro 18-3
#5 at Bantamweight

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Song Yadong 42% Mario Bautista 58%

Run as an unbooked fight, this one splits our two reads — they do not name the same winner, so there is no lean here to give you.

Our two reads disagree. One leans Mario Bautista at 58%; the other leans Song Yadong at 54%. When they split like this there is no read worth having — treat it as a coin toss.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 62%.

KO/TKO
25%
Submission
12%
Decision
64%
These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Song Yadong vs Mario Bautista — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 13-4 (1 draw/NC)UFC recordUFC 12-3
24-9-1Pro record18-3
Kung Fu KidNickname
5' 8"Height5' 9"
67"Reach69"
OrthodoxStanceSwitch
28Age33
135 lbs.Weight135 lbs.
NationalityUnited States
HometownPhoenix, Arizona
Fighting out ofMMA Lab
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Song Yadong (left) vs Mario Bautista (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
4.26
vs
5.52
Striking accuracy
43%
vs
50%
Strikes absorbed / min
3.76
vs
4.17
Striking defence
54%
vs
54%
Takedowns / 15 min
0.79
vs
2.49
Takedown accuracy
41%
vs
38%
Takedown defence
73%
vs
57%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.3
vs
1.1
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Song Yadong and Mario Bautista have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

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