A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.
Run as an unbooked fight, this one splits our two reads — they do not name the same winner, so there is no lean here to give you.
Our two reads disagree. One leans Sergei Pavlovich at 51%; the other leans Josh Hokit at 53%. When they split like this there is no read worth having — treat it as a coin toss.
The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 44%.
Sergei Pavlovich vs Josh Hokit — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.
| UFC 9-3 | UFC record | UFC 4-0 |
| 21-3 | Pro record | 10-0 |
| 6' 3" | Height | 6' 1" |
| 84"▲ | Reach | 73" |
| Southpaw | Stance | Orthodox |
| 34 | Age | 28 |
| 257 lbs. | Weight | 235 lbs. |
| Russia | Nationality | United States |
| Rostov-on-Don, Rostov Oblast | Hometown | Clovis, California |
| Eagles MMA | Fighting out of | Jackson-Wink MMA |
Sergei Pavlovich (left) vs Josh Hokit (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.
None.
Sergei Pavlovich and Josh Hokit have never met in the UFC.
Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.
Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.