A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.
Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Norma Dumont at 60% — a lean, not a conviction.
Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Norma Dumont — 60% on the first, 68% on the second, 8 points apart.
The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 67%.
Hypothetical run at Women's Bantamweight; Norma Dumont fought mainly at Women's Featherweight.
Raquel Pennington vs Norma Dumont — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.
| UFC 13-6 | UFC record | UFC 9-3 |
| 16-10 | Pro record | 13-3 |
| Rocky | Nickname | The Immortal |
| 5' 7" | Height | 5' 7" |
| 67" | Reach | 67" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 38 | Age | 35 |
| 135 lbs. | Weight | 135 lbs. |
| United States | Nationality | Brazil |
| Colorado Springs, Colorado | Hometown | Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais |
| Altitude MMA | Fighting out of | Team Rules |
Raquel Pennington (left) vs Norma Dumont (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.
None.
Raquel Pennington and Norma Dumont have never met in the UFC.
Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.
Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.