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Fantasy matchup

Raquel Pennington vs Ailin PerezFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

#2 at Women's Bantamweight · #5 at Women's Bantamweight
Not a booked fightFANTASY MATCHUP — this fight is not booked. What our two blind models would say if it were.
Raquel Pennington
UFC 13-6 · Pro 16-10
#2 at Women's Bantamweight
VS
Ailin Perez
UFC 6-1 · Pro 13-2
#5 at Women's Bantamweight

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Raquel Pennington 31% Ailin Perez 69%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Ailin Perez at 69% — a clear lean.

Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Ailin Perez — 69% on the first, 74% on the second, 5 points apart.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 66%.

KO/TKO
11%
Submission
8%
Decision
80%
These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Raquel Pennington vs Ailin Perez — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 13-6UFC recordUFC 6-1
16-10Pro record13-2
RockyNicknameFiona
5' 7"Height5' 5"
67"▲Reach66"
OrthodoxStanceSwitch
38Age31
135 lbs.Weight135 lbs.
United StatesNationalityArgentina
Colorado Springs, ColoradoHometownHurlingham, Buenos Aires
Altitude MMAFighting out ofThe Goat Shed Academy
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Raquel Pennington (left) vs Ailin Perez (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
4.1
vs
2.88
Striking accuracy
49%
vs
56%
Strikes absorbed / min
3.32
vs
1.58
Striking defence
61%
vs
56%
Takedowns / 15 min
0.83
vs
4.9
Takedown accuracy
27%
vs
49%
Takedown defence
62%
vs
72%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.6
vs
0.2
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Raquel Pennington and Ailin Perez have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Raquel Pennington — record, tape and career → Ailin Perez — record, tape and career → This week's real card →
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