A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.
Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Merab Dvalishvili at 78% — the widest kind of gap these reads produce.
Our two reads agree on the winner but not on the margin. Both name Merab Dvalishvili — 78% on the first, 56% on the second, a gap of 22 points. The wider that gap, the less settled the read.
The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 57%.
Merab Dvalishvili vs Song Yadong — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.
| UFC 14-3 | UFC record | UFC 13-4 (1 draw/NC) |
| 21-5 | Pro record | 24-9-1 |
| The Machine | Nickname | Kung Fu Kid |
| 5' 6" | Height | 5' 8" |
| 68"▲ | Reach | 67" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 35 | Age | 28 |
| 135 lbs. | Weight | 135 lbs. |
| Georgia | Nationality | — |
| Tbilisi | Hometown | — |
| Serra-Longo Fight Team | Fighting out of | — |
Merab Dvalishvili (left) vs Song Yadong (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.
None.
Merab Dvalishvili and Song Yadong have never met in the UFC.
Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.
Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.