A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.
Run as an unbooked fight, this one splits our two reads — they do not name the same winner, so there is no lean here to give you.
Our two reads disagree. One leans Paddy Pimblett at 51%; the other leans Max Holloway at 52%. When they split like this there is no read worth having — treat it as a coin toss.
The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 53%.
Hypothetical run at Lightweight; Max Holloway fought mainly at Featherweight.
Max Holloway vs Paddy Pimblett — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.
| UFC 24-9 | UFC record | UFC 8-1 |
| 28-9 | Pro record | 24-4 |
| Blessed | Nickname | The Baddy |
| 5' 11" | Height | 5' 10" |
| 69" | Reach | ▲73" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 34 | Age | 31 |
| 155 lbs. | Weight | 155 lbs. |
| United States | Nationality | England |
| Waianae, Hawaii | Hometown | Liverpool, Merseyside |
| — | Fighting out of | Next Generation MMA Liverpool |
Max Holloway (left) vs Paddy Pimblett (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.
None.
Max Holloway and Paddy Pimblett have never met in the UFC.
Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.
Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.