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Fantasy matchup

Max Holloway vs Paddy PimblettFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

#4 at Lightweight · #5 at Lightweight
Not a booked fightFANTASY MATCHUP — this fight is not booked. What our two blind models would say if it were.
UFC 24-9 · Pro 28-9
#4 at Lightweight
VS
UFC 8-1 · Pro 24-4
#5 at Lightweight

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Max Holloway 49% Paddy Pimblett 51%

Run as an unbooked fight, this one splits our two reads — they do not name the same winner, so there is no lean here to give you.

Our two reads disagree. One leans Paddy Pimblett at 51%; the other leans Max Holloway at 52%. When they split like this there is no read worth having — treat it as a coin toss.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 53%.

Hypothetical run at Lightweight; Max Holloway fought mainly at Featherweight.

KO/TKO
28%
Submission
8%
Decision
64%
These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Max Holloway vs Paddy Pimblett — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 24-9UFC recordUFC 8-1
28-9Pro record24-4
BlessedNicknameThe Baddy
5' 11"Height5' 10"
69"Reach73"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
34Age31
155 lbs.Weight155 lbs.
United StatesNationalityEngland
Waianae, HawaiiHometownLiverpool, Merseyside
Fighting out ofNext Generation MMA Liverpool
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Max Holloway (left) vs Paddy Pimblett (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
6.92
vs
5.48
Striking accuracy
48%
vs
52%
Strikes absorbed / min
4.6
vs
3.86
Striking defence
58%
vs
42%
Takedowns / 15 min
0.22
vs
0.68
Takedown accuracy
53%
vs
21%
Takedown defence
81%
vs
46%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.3
vs
1.4
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Max Holloway and Paddy Pimblett have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

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