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Compare · Fantasy matchups · Manel Kape vs Tatsuro Taira
Fantasy matchup

Manel Kape vs Tatsuro TairaFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

#2 at Flyweight · #4 at Flyweight
Not a booked fightFANTASY MATCHUP — this fight is not booked. What our two blind models would say if it were.
UFC 8-3 · Pro 23-7
#2 at Flyweight
VS
UFC 8-2 · Pro 18-2
#4 at Flyweight

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Manel Kape 50% Tatsuro Taira 50%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Tatsuro Taira at 50% — close enough to be a coin toss — there is no meaningful separation between them.

Our two reads agree on the winner but not on the margin. Both name Tatsuro Taira — 50% on the first, 64% on the second, a gap of 14 points. The wider that gap, the less settled the read.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 57%.

KO/TKO
39%
Submission
16%
Decision
44%
These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Manel Kape vs Tatsuro Taira — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 8-3UFC recordUFC 8-2
23-7Pro record18-2
StarBoyNickname
5' 5"Height5' 7"
68"Reach70"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
32Age26
125 lbs.Weight125 lbs.
AngolaNationalityJapan
LuandaHometownNaha, Okinawa
Xtreme CoutureFighting out ofThe Blackbelt Japan
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Manel Kape (left) vs Tatsuro Taira (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
4.68
vs
2.87
Striking accuracy
55%
vs
54%
Strikes absorbed / min
3.88
vs
3.1
Striking defence
57%
vs
44%
Takedowns / 15 min
0.36
vs
3.57
Takedown accuracy
30%
vs
43%
Takedown defence
78%
vs
46%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.2
vs
1.3
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Manel Kape and Tatsuro Taira have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

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