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Compare · Fantasy matchups · Mackenzie Dern vs Tatiana Suarez
Fantasy matchup

Mackenzie Dern vs Tatiana SuarezFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

Women's Strawweight champion · #2 at Women's Strawweight
Not a booked fightFANTASY MATCHUP — this fight is not booked. What our two blind models would say if it were.
Mackenzie Dern
UFC 12-5 · Pro 17-5
Women's Strawweight champion
VS
Tatiana Suarez
UFC 9-1 · Pro 13-1
#2 at Women's Strawweight

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Mackenzie Dern 36% Tatiana Suarez 64%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Tatiana Suarez at 64% — a lean, not a conviction.

Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Tatiana Suarez — 64% on the first, 63% on the second, 1 point apart.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 65%.

KO/TKO
14%
Submission
20%
Decision
66%
These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Mackenzie Dern vs Tatiana Suarez — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 12-5UFC recordUFC 9-1
17-5Pro record13-1
5' 4"Height5' 5"
63"Reach▲66"
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
33Age35
115 lbs.Weight115 lbs.
United StatesNationalityUnited States
Phoenix, ArizonaHometownCovina, California
RVCAFighting out ofMillennia MMA
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Mackenzie Dern (left) vs Tatiana Suarez (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
3.38
vs
2.86
Striking accuracy
41%
vs
60%
Strikes absorbed / min
3.74
vs
1.63
Striking defence
52%
vs
44%
Takedowns / 15 min
1.07
vs
4.52
Takedown accuracy
21%
vs
45%
Takedown defence
40%
vs
57%
Sub attempts / 15 min
1
vs
0.7
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Mackenzie Dern and Tatiana Suarez have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Mackenzie Dern — record, tape and career → Tatiana Suarez — record, tape and career → This week's real card →
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