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Compare · Fantasy matchups · Kayla Harrison vs Raquel Pennington
Fantasy matchup

Kayla Harrison vs Raquel PenningtonFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

Women's Bantamweight champion · #2 at Women's Bantamweight
Not a booked fightFANTASY MATCHUP — this fight is not booked. What our two blind models would say if it were.
UFC 3-0 · Pro 19-1
Women's Bantamweight champion
VS
UFC 13-6 · Pro 16-10
#2 at Women's Bantamweight

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Kayla Harrison 79% Raquel Pennington 21%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Kayla Harrison at 79% — the widest kind of gap these reads produce.

Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Kayla Harrison — 79% on the first, 77% on the second, 2 points apart.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 54%.

KO/TKO
17%
Submission
20%
Decision
63%
These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Kayla Harrison vs Raquel Pennington — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 3-0UFC recordUFC 13-6
19-1Pro record16-10
NicknameRocky
5' 8"Height5' 7"
66"Reach67"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
36Age38
135 lbs.Weight135 lbs.
United StatesNationalityUnited States
Middletown, OhioHometownColorado Springs, Colorado
American Top TeamFighting out ofAltitude MMA
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Kayla Harrison (left) vs Raquel Pennington (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
4.29
vs
4.1
Striking accuracy
62%
vs
49%
Strikes absorbed / min
1.1
vs
3.32
Striking defence
66%
vs
61%
Takedowns / 15 min
2.84
vs
0.83
Takedown accuracy
37%
vs
27%
Takedown defence
100%
vs
62%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.9
vs
0.6
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Kayla Harrison and Raquel Pennington have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

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