This Saturday Rosas Jr. vs Barcelos · Meta APEX Las Vegas, NV United States See this week's picks →
Compare · Fantasy matchups · Islam Makhachev vs Carlos Prates
Fantasy matchup

Islam Makhachev vs Carlos PratesFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

Welterweight champion · #2 at Welterweight
Not a booked fightFANTASY MATCHUP — this fight is not booked. What our two blind models would say if it were.
UFC 18-1 · Pro 29-1
Welterweight champion
VS
UFC 7-1 · Pro 24-7
#2 at Welterweight

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Islam Makhachev 76% Carlos Prates 24%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Islam Makhachev at 76% — the widest kind of gap these reads produce.

Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Islam Makhachev — 76% on the first, 71% on the second, 5 points apart.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 42%.

Hypothetical run at Welterweight; Islam Makhachev fought mainly at Lightweight.

KO/TKO
23%
Submission
52%
Decision
25%
These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Islam Makhachev vs Carlos Prates — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 18-1UFC recordUFC 7-1
29-1Pro record24-7
NicknameThe Nightmare
5' 10"Height6' 1"
70"Reach78"
SouthpawStanceSwitch
34Age33
170 lbs.Weight170 lbs.
RussiaNationalityBrazil
Makhachkala, DagestanHometownTaubate, Sao Paulo
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Islam Makhachev (left) vs Carlos Prates (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
2.27
vs
4.41
Striking accuracy
58%
vs
54%
Strikes absorbed / min
1.42
vs
4.3
Striking defence
61%
vs
47%
Takedowns / 15 min
3.22
vs
0.18
Takedown accuracy
54%
vs
100%
Takedown defence
91%
vs
77%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.9
vs
0
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Islam Makhachev and Carlos Prates have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

← All fantasy matchups