Ilia Topuria vs Paddy Pimblett — fantasy matchup

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Ilia Topuria 73% Paddy Pimblett 27%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Ilia Topuria at 73% — a clear lean.

Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Ilia Topuria — 73% on the first, 76% on the second, 3 points apart.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 48%.

Hypothetical run at Lightweight; Ilia Topuria fought mainly at Featherweight.

KO/TKO

45%

Submission

15%

Decision

40%

These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Ilia Topuria vs Paddy Pimblett — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 9-1	UFC record	UFC 8-1
17-1	Pro record	24-4
El Matador	Nickname	The Baddy
5' 7"	Height	5' 10"
69"	Reach	▲73"
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
29	Age	31
155 lbs.	Weight	155 lbs.
Georgia	Nationality	England
Rustavi, Kvemo Kartli	Hometown	Liverpool, Merseyside
Topuria Team	Fighting out of	Next Generation MMA Liverpool

Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Ilia Topuria (left) vs Paddy Pimblett (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min

4.82

5.48

Striking accuracy

50%

52%

Strikes absorbed / min

3.97

3.86

Striking defence

62%

42%

Takedowns / 15 min

1.73

0.68

Takedown accuracy

57%

21%

Takedown defence

95%

46%

Sub attempts / 15 min

0.9

1.4

Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Ilia Topuria and Paddy Pimblett have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Ilia Topuria — record, tape and career → Paddy Pimblett — record, tape and career → This week's real card →

← All fantasy matchups

Ilia Topuria vs Paddy PimblettFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

If they fought

Tale of the tape

Stat-by-stat

Fights that have happened between them

The real fighters