Ian Machado Garry vs Gabriel Bonfim

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Ian Machado Garry 54% Gabriel Bonfim 46%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Ian Machado Garry at 54% — close enough to be a coin toss — there is no meaningful separation between them.

Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Ian Machado Garry — 54% on the first, 63% on the second, 9 points apart.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 49%.

KO/TKO

40%

Submission

Decision

52%

These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Ian Machado Garry vs Gabriel Bonfim — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 10-2	UFC record	UFC 7-1
17-2	Pro record	20-1
—	Nickname	Marretinha
6' 3"	Height	6' 1"
74"▲	Reach	72"
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
28	Age	29
170 lbs.	Weight	170 lbs.
—	Nationality	Brazil
—	Hometown	Brasilia, Distrito Federal
—	Fighting out of	Bonfim Brothers

Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Ian Machado Garry (left) vs Gabriel Bonfim (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min

4.29

4.76

Striking accuracy

53%

47%

Strikes absorbed / min

2.59

3.61

Striking defence

52%

64%

Takedowns / 15 min

0.8

2.57

Takedown accuracy

31%

53%

Takedown defence

71%

78%

Sub attempts / 15 min

0.3

Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Ian Machado Garry and Gabriel Bonfim have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Ian Machado Garry — record, tape and career → Gabriel Bonfim — record, tape and career → This week's real card →

← All fantasy matchups

Ian Machado Garry vs Gabriel BonfimFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

If they fought

Tale of the tape

Stat-by-stat

Fights that have happened between them

The real fighters