A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.
Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Dricus Du Plessis at 68% — a clear lean.
Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Dricus Du Plessis — 68% on the first, 61% on the second, 7 points apart.
The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 48%.
Dricus Du Plessis vs Caio Borralho — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.
| UFC 10-1 | UFC record | UFC 8-1 |
| 24-3 | Pro record | 18-2 |
| Stillknocks | Nickname | The Natural |
| 6' 1" | Height | 6' 1" |
| 76"▲ | Reach | 75" |
| Switch | Stance | Southpaw |
| 32 | Age | 33 |
| 185 lbs. | Weight | 185 lbs. |
| South Africa | Nationality | Brazil |
| Pretoria, Gauteng | Hometown | Sao Luis, Maranhao |
| Team CIT | Fighting out of | The Fighting Nerds |
Dricus Du Plessis (left) vs Caio Borralho (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.
None.
Dricus Du Plessis and Caio Borralho have never met in the UFC.
Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.
Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.