A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.
Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Ciryl Gane at 69% — a clear lean.
Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Ciryl Gane — 69% on the first, 65% on the second, 4 points apart.
The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 43%.
Ciryl Gane vs Curtis Blaydes — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.
| UFC 11-2 (1 draw/NC) | UFC record | UFC 15-6 (1 draw/NC) |
| 14-2 | Pro record | 20-6 |
| Bon Gamin | Nickname | Razor |
| 6' 4" | Height | 6' 4" |
| 81"▲ | Reach | 80" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 36 | Age | 35 |
| 247 lbs. | Weight | 265 lbs. |
| France | Nationality | United States |
| Paris | Hometown | Naperville, Illinois |
| MMA Factory | Fighting out of | Elevation Fight Team |
Ciryl Gane (left) vs Curtis Blaydes (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.
None.
Ciryl Gane and Curtis Blaydes have never met in the UFC.
Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.
Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.