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Compare · Fantasy matchups · Ciryl Gane vs Curtis Blaydes
Fantasy matchup

Ciryl Gane vs Curtis BlaydesFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

#1 at Heavyweight · #5 at Heavyweight
Not a booked fightFANTASY MATCHUP — this fight is not booked. What our two blind models would say if it were.
UFC 11-2 (1 draw/NC) · Pro 14-2
#1 at Heavyweight
VS
UFC 15-6 (1 draw/NC) · Pro 20-6
#5 at Heavyweight

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Ciryl Gane 69% Curtis Blaydes 31%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Ciryl Gane at 69% — a clear lean.

Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Ciryl Gane — 69% on the first, 65% on the second, 4 points apart.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 43%.

KO/TKO
61%
Submission
9%
Decision
30%
These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Ciryl Gane vs Curtis Blaydes — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 11-2 (1 draw/NC)UFC recordUFC 15-6 (1 draw/NC)
14-2Pro record20-6
Bon GaminNicknameRazor
6' 4"Height6' 4"
81"Reach80"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
36Age35
247 lbs.Weight265 lbs.
FranceNationalityUnited States
ParisHometownNaperville, Illinois
MMA FactoryFighting out ofElevation Fight Team
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Ciryl Gane (left) vs Curtis Blaydes (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
5.4
vs
4.18
Striking accuracy
61%
vs
52%
Strikes absorbed / min
2.31
vs
2.76
Striking defence
60%
vs
53%
Takedowns / 15 min
0.66
vs
5.12
Takedown accuracy
23%
vs
47%
Takedown defence
47%
vs
35%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.6
vs
0
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Ciryl Gane and Curtis Blaydes have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

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