A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.
Run as an unbooked fight, this one splits our two reads — they do not name the same winner, so there is no lean here to give you.
Our two reads disagree. One leans Paddy Pimblett at 56%; the other leans Charles Oliveira at 51%. When they split like this there is no read worth having — treat it as a coin toss.
The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 53%.
Charles Oliveira vs Paddy Pimblett — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.
| UFC 25-11 (1 draw/NC) | UFC record | UFC 8-1 |
| 37-11 | Pro record | 24-4 |
| Do Bronxs | Nickname | The Baddy |
| 5' 10" | Height | 5' 10" |
| 74"▲ | Reach | 73" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 36 | Age | 31 |
| 155 lbs. | Weight | 155 lbs. |
| Brazil | Nationality | England |
| Guaruja, Sao Paulo | Hometown | Liverpool, Merseyside |
| — | Fighting out of | Next Generation MMA Liverpool |
Charles Oliveira (left) vs Paddy Pimblett (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.
None.
Charles Oliveira and Paddy Pimblett have never met in the UFC.
Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.
Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.