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Compare · Fantasy matchups · Carlos Ulberg vs Alex Pereira
Fantasy matchup

Carlos Ulberg vs Alex PereiraFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

Light Heavyweight champion · #3 at Light Heavyweight
Not a booked fightFANTASY MATCHUP — this fight is not booked. What our two blind models would say if it were.
Carlos Ulberg
UFC 10-1 · Pro 15-1
Light Heavyweight champion
VS
Alex Pereira
UFC 10-3 · Pro 13-4
#3 at Light Heavyweight

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Carlos Ulberg 58% Alex Pereira 42%

Run as an unbooked fight, this one splits our two reads — they do not name the same winner, so there is no lean here to give you.

Our two reads disagree. One leans Carlos Ulberg at 58%; the other leans Alex Pereira at 51%. When they split like this there is no read worth having — treat it as a coin toss.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 41%.

KO/TKO
50%
Submission
10%
Decision
40%
These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Carlos Ulberg vs Alex Pereira — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 10-1UFC recordUFC 10-3
15-1Pro record13-4
Black JagNicknamePoatan
6' 4"Height6' 4"
77"Reach▲79"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
35Age39
205 lbs.Weight205 lbs.
New ZealandNationalityBrazil
AucklandHometownSao Bernardo do Campo, Sao Paulo
City KickboxingFighting out ofTeixeira MMA & Fitness
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Carlos Ulberg (left) vs Alex Pereira (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
6.57
vs
5.01
Striking accuracy
55%
vs
61%
Strikes absorbed / min
4.03
vs
3.72
Striking defence
51%
vs
52%
Takedowns / 15 min
0.53
vs
0.11
Takedown accuracy
60%
vs
50%
Takedown defence
85%
vs
80%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.2
vs
0.2
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Carlos Ulberg and Alex Pereira have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Carlos Ulberg — record, tape and career → Alex Pereira — record, tape and career → This week's real card →
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