This Saturday Rosas Jr. vs Barcelos · Meta APEX Las Vegas, NV United States See this week's picks →
Compare · Fantasy matchups · Carlos Prates vs Gabriel Bonfim
Fantasy matchup

Carlos Prates vs Gabriel BonfimFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

#2 at Welterweight · #5 at Welterweight
Not a booked fightFANTASY MATCHUP — this fight is not booked. What our two blind models would say if it were.
Carlos Prates
UFC 7-1 · Pro 24-7
#2 at Welterweight
VS
Gabriel Bonfim
UFC 7-1 · Pro 20-1
#5 at Welterweight

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Carlos Prates 48% Gabriel Bonfim 52%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Gabriel Bonfim at 52% — close enough to be a coin toss — there is no meaningful separation between them.

Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Gabriel Bonfim — 52% on the first, 51% on the second, 1 point apart.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 47%.

KO/TKO
48%
Submission
11%
Decision
41%
These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Carlos Prates vs Gabriel Bonfim — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 7-1UFC recordUFC 7-1
24-7Pro record20-1
The NightmareNicknameMarretinha
6' 1"Height6' 1"
78"▲Reach72"
SwitchStanceOrthodox
33Age29
170 lbs.Weight170 lbs.
BrazilNationalityBrazil
Taubate, Sao PauloHometownBrasilia, Distrito Federal
—Fighting out ofBonfim Brothers
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Carlos Prates (left) vs Gabriel Bonfim (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
4.41
vs
4.76
Striking accuracy
54%
vs
47%
Strikes absorbed / min
4.3
vs
3.61
Striking defence
47%
vs
64%
Takedowns / 15 min
0.18
vs
2.57
Takedown accuracy
100%
vs
53%
Takedown defence
77%
vs
78%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0
vs
1
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Carlos Prates and Gabriel Bonfim have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Carlos Prates — record, tape and career → Gabriel Bonfim — record, tape and career → This week's real card →
← All fantasy matchups