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Fantasy matchup

Brandon Royval vs Kyoji HoriguchiFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

#3 at Flyweight · #5 at Flyweight
Not a booked fightFANTASY MATCHUP — this fight is not booked. What our two blind models would say if it were.
UFC 8-5 · Pro 18-9
#3 at Flyweight
VS
UFC 9-2 · Pro 36-6
#5 at Flyweight

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Brandon Royval 44% Kyoji Horiguchi 56%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Kyoji Horiguchi at 56% — a lean, not a conviction.

Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Kyoji Horiguchi — 56% on the first, 56% on the second, the same number.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 59%.

KO/TKO
27%
Submission
9%
Decision
65%
These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Brandon Royval vs Kyoji Horiguchi — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 8-5UFC recordUFC 9-2
18-9Pro record36-6
Raw DawgNickname
5' 9"Height5' 4"
68"Reach63"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
34Age35
125 lbs.Weight125 lbs.
United StatesNationalityJapan
Englewood, ColoradoHometownTakasaki, Gunma
Factory XFighting out ofAmerican Top Team
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Brandon Royval (left) vs Kyoji Horiguchi (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
5.6
vs
3.64
Striking accuracy
42%
vs
47%
Strikes absorbed / min
4.24
vs
2.08
Striking defence
42%
vs
64%
Takedowns / 15 min
0.89
vs
1.67
Takedown accuracy
64%
vs
40%
Takedown defence
45%
vs
61%
Sub attempts / 15 min
1.2
vs
0.1
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Brandon Royval and Kyoji Horiguchi have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

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