A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.
Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Arman Tsarukyan at 76% — the widest kind of gap these reads produce.
Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Arman Tsarukyan — 76% on the first, 72% on the second, 4 points apart.
The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 51%.
Arman Tsarukyan vs Paddy Pimblett — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.
| UFC 10-2 | UFC record | UFC 8-1 |
| 24-3 | Pro record | 24-4 |
| Ahalkalakets | Nickname | The Baddy |
| 5' 7" | Height | 5' 10" |
| 72" | Reach | ▲73" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 29 | Age | 31 |
| 155 lbs. | Weight | 155 lbs. |
| Russia | Nationality | England |
| Khabarovsk, Khabarovsk Krai | Hometown | Liverpool, Merseyside |
| American Top Team | Fighting out of | Next Generation MMA Liverpool |
Arman Tsarukyan (left) vs Paddy Pimblett (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.
None.
Arman Tsarukyan and Paddy Pimblett have never met in the UFC.
Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.
Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.