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Compare · Fantasy matchups · Arman Tsarukyan vs Paddy Pimblett
Fantasy matchup

Arman Tsarukyan vs Paddy PimblettFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

#2 at Lightweight · #5 at Lightweight
Not a booked fightFANTASY MATCHUP — this fight is not booked. What our two blind models would say if it were.
UFC 10-2 · Pro 24-3
#2 at Lightweight
VS
UFC 8-1 · Pro 24-4
#5 at Lightweight

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Arman Tsarukyan 76% Paddy Pimblett 24%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Arman Tsarukyan at 76% — the widest kind of gap these reads produce.

Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Arman Tsarukyan — 76% on the first, 72% on the second, 4 points apart.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 51%.

KO/TKO
24%
Submission
15%
Decision
62%
These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Arman Tsarukyan vs Paddy Pimblett — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 10-2UFC recordUFC 8-1
24-3Pro record24-4
AhalkalaketsNicknameThe Baddy
5' 7"Height5' 10"
72"Reach73"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
29Age31
155 lbs.Weight155 lbs.
RussiaNationalityEngland
Khabarovsk, Khabarovsk KraiHometownLiverpool, Merseyside
American Top TeamFighting out ofNext Generation MMA Liverpool
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Arman Tsarukyan (left) vs Paddy Pimblett (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
3.85
vs
5.48
Striking accuracy
50%
vs
52%
Strikes absorbed / min
1.8
vs
3.86
Striking defence
54%
vs
42%
Takedowns / 15 min
3.26
vs
0.68
Takedown accuracy
37%
vs
21%
Takedown defence
75%
vs
46%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.1
vs
1.4
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Arman Tsarukyan and Paddy Pimblett have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

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