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Compare · Fantasy matchups · Arman Tsarukyan vs Max Holloway
Fantasy matchup

Arman Tsarukyan vs Max HollowayFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

#2 at Lightweight · #4 at Lightweight
Not a booked fightFANTASY MATCHUP — this fight is not booked. What our two blind models would say if it were.
Arman Tsarukyan
UFC 10-2 · Pro 24-3
#2 at Lightweight
VS
Max Holloway
UFC 24-9 · Pro 28-9
#4 at Lightweight

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Arman Tsarukyan 76% Max Holloway 24%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Arman Tsarukyan at 76% — the widest kind of gap these reads produce.

Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Arman Tsarukyan — 76% on the first, 69% on the second, 7 points apart.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 58%.

Hypothetical run at Lightweight; Max Holloway fought mainly at Featherweight.

KO/TKO
23%
Submission
11%
Decision
66%
These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Arman Tsarukyan vs Max Holloway — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 10-2UFC recordUFC 24-9
24-3Pro record28-9
AhalkalaketsNicknameBlessed
5' 7"Height5' 11"
72"▲Reach69"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
29Age34
155 lbs.Weight155 lbs.
RussiaNationalityUnited States
Khabarovsk, Khabarovsk KraiHometownWaianae, Hawaii
American Top TeamFighting out of—
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Arman Tsarukyan (left) vs Max Holloway (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
3.85
vs
6.92
Striking accuracy
50%
vs
48%
Strikes absorbed / min
1.8
vs
4.6
Striking defence
54%
vs
58%
Takedowns / 15 min
3.26
vs
0.22
Takedown accuracy
37%
vs
53%
Takedown defence
75%
vs
81%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.1
vs
0.3
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Arman Tsarukyan and Max Holloway have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Arman Tsarukyan — record, tape and career → Max Holloway — record, tape and career → This week's real card →
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