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Fantasy matchup

Alexandre Pantoja vs Tatsuro TairaFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

#1 at Flyweight · #4 at Flyweight
Not a booked fightFANTASY MATCHUP — this fight is not booked. What our two blind models would say if it were.
UFC 14-4 · Pro 30-7
#1 at Flyweight
VS
UFC 8-2 · Pro 18-2
#4 at Flyweight

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Alexandre Pantoja 43% Tatsuro Taira 57%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Tatsuro Taira at 57% — a lean, not a conviction.

Our two reads agree on the winner but not on the margin. Both name Tatsuro Taira — 57% on the first, 70% on the second, a gap of 13 points. The wider that gap, the less settled the read.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 63%.

KO/TKO
20%
Submission
22%
Decision
58%
These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Alexandre Pantoja vs Tatsuro Taira — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 14-4UFC recordUFC 8-2
30-7Pro record18-2
The CannibalNickname
5' 5"Height5' 7"
67"Reach70"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
36Age26
125 lbs.Weight125 lbs.
BrazilNationalityJapan
Arraial do Cabo, Rio de JaneiroHometownNaha, Okinawa
American Top TeamFighting out ofThe Blackbelt Japan
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Alexandre Pantoja (left) vs Tatsuro Taira (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
4.38
vs
2.87
Striking accuracy
50%
vs
54%
Strikes absorbed / min
3.88
vs
3.1
Striking defence
49%
vs
44%
Takedowns / 15 min
2.79
vs
3.57
Takedown accuracy
47%
vs
43%
Takedown defence
69%
vs
46%
Sub attempts / 15 min
1
vs
1.3
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Alexandre Pantoja and Tatsuro Taira have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

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