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Joe Pyfer vs Bo Nickal prediction

Middleweight · Oliveira vs Lopes · 12 Dec 2026
UFC 7-1 · Pro 16-3
VS
UFC 6-1 · Pro 9-1

Prediction

early read
Joe Pyfer 50%
50%50%
as of 11 Oct 2026, 09:03 UTC

By the numbers

  • Finishers

    Both fighters finish: at least two thirds of their UFC wins ended inside the distance. When two finishers meet, 64% of UFC fights end inside the distance (354 of 550 fights). Across every UFC fight it is 53%.

  • Win streaks

    Pyfer comes in on a 4-fight UFC winning run. A fighter on a run of 4 or 5 against an opponent on a shorter one wins 57% of the time (367 of 639 fights).

Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.

Tale of the tape

The facts, side by side — Joe Pyfer vs Bo Nickal.

Red corner JoePyfer“Bodybagz”Team Balance · Born in Vineland, New Jersey, United States · Fights out of Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States
VSUpcoming
Blue corner BoNickalAmerican Top Team Happy Valley · Born in Rifle, Colorado, United States · Fights out of State College, Pennsylvania, United States
MiddleweightPicks published · graded in public after the card
The story
  • Comes in on a 4-fight win streak.
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 6 of 7 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 5 of 6 UFC wins.
16-3
Record
9-1
30
Age
30
+1″6' 2"
Height
6' 1"
75″
Reach
+1″76″
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
+18
UFC bouts
7
+2%6/786% of wins
Finishes
5/683% of wins
Team Balance
Gym
American Top Team Happy Valley
Vineland, New Jersey, United States
Born in
Rifle, Colorado, United States
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States
Fights out of
State College, Pennsylvania, United States
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s.
All the vitals, as a table
UFC 7-1UFC recordUFC 6-1
16-3Pro record9-1
BodybagzNickname—
6' 2"Height6' 1"
75"Reach76"
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
30Age30
185 lbs.Weight185 lbs.
United StatesNationalityUnited States
Vineland, New Jersey, United StatesBorn inRifle, Colorado, United States
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United StatesFights out ofState College, Pennsylvania, United States
Team BalanceCampAmerican Top Team Happy Valley
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Joe PyferBo Nickal
59
Striking
80
52
Defence
84
39
Grappling / TD
80
51
Cardio
22
92
Chin
58
59
Fight IQ
65
Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Joe Pyfer8 UFC fights · 253 landed

69.6%
HEAD
64.3%
22.9%
BODY
19.3%
7.5%
LEGS
16.4%

Bo Nickal7 UFC fights · 171 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Joe Pyfer

1.45takedowns / 15 min
1.45 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
3.12 / 15m
4.83 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
5.47 / 15m
30%
ACCURACY
57%
0.90 / 15m
SUB ATT
2.30 / 15m

Bo Nickal

3.12takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (6.86 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Middleweight

Stats comparison

Joe Pyfer (left) vs Bo Nickal (right) — career striking & grappling rates.

Strikes landed / min
3.52
vs
3.36
Striking accuracy
44%
vs
61%
Strikes absorbed / min
3.22
vs
1.93
Striking defence
52%
vs
60%
Takedowns / 15 min
1.45
vs
3.12
Takedown accuracy
30%
vs
57%
Takedown defence
62%
vs
100%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.9
vs
2.3
Career averages from public UFC statistics.

Bios

Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.

Joe PyferFightIQ profilePower striker

6' 2" orthodox power striker campaigning at Middleweight. 7 UFC wins — 4 KO/TKO, 2 submission, 1 decision.

Built from Joe Pyfer’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →
Bo NickalFightIQ profileKnockout puncher

6' 1" southpaw knockout puncher campaigning at Middleweight. 6 UFC wins — 3 KO/TKO, 2 submission, 1 decision.

Built from Bo Nickal’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →

Go deeper

Elsewhere on the card

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