Round 1⚡ 1 KD Wellmaker
9 of 30
Sig.
strikes
strikes
24 of 41
0 of 0
Take-
downs
downs
2 of 3
0:27
Control
0:34
1
Knock-
downs
downs
0
Distance 9Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 20Clinch 3Ground 1
Red corner
MalcolmWellmaker“The Machine”Faglier's Mixed Martial Arts · Hometown (per Sherdog): Augusta, Georgia
VSSettled
The story going in
- Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
- Averages 4.5 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Wellmaker.
10-3
Record
11-2
32
Age
−4 yr28
+1″5' 10"
Height
5' 9"
+1″71″
Reach
70″
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
+34
UFC bouts
1
Augusta, Georgiahometown, per Sherdog
From
Telavi, Kakhetihometown, per Sherdog
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.
The call vs the fight
What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.
Our call
Malcolm Wellmaker
57.2% confidentLOW
The fight
Otari Tanzilovi
LOSS✗
Graded against the official UFC result, from
the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict
is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads
as one. See the full public record →
By the numbers
Age
Tanzilovi is 3 years younger. With an age gap of 2 to 3 years, the younger fighter wins 57% of UFC fights (1,251 of 2,208 fights).
History leans Tanzilovi on 1 of these; our model picked Wellmaker.
Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.
Round by round
Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.
UFCStats · per round
2 rounds of tape
Round 2⚡ 1 KD TanziloviEnded 2:39
8 of 28
Sig.
strikes
strikes
14 of 26
0 of 0
Take-
downs
downs
0 of 1
0:06
Control
0:17
0
Knock-
downs
downs
1
Distance 6Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 12Clinch 1Ground 1
Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.
How it ended
This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.
Won inside the distance
Otari Tanzilovi
Round
2
Clock
2:39
Method
KO/TKO
This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Marc Goddard.
Takedowns
Takedowns
The level change — head to head
Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Malcolm Wellmaker
0.00 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
4.50 / 15m
n/a
ATTEMPTS
12.50 / 15m
n/a
ACCURACY
36%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m
46%
TD DEFENCE
85%
Otari Tanzilovi
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.50 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Ranked in Bantamweight
The market story
What the market did on the way to the cage — the price, not our model. The gold marker is where our pick was frozen.
Malcolm WellmakerOtari TanziloviPolymarketSportsbook consensus (vig removed)
From the open the market drifted toward our pick: Malcolm Wellmaker's implied chance moved up from 50% to 64% (+13.5pp).
Our published call had Malcolm Wellmaker at 57.2%. At the last price we captured before the fight, the de-vigged market had the same fighter at 63.5% — our number sat 6.3pp below the market’s. Two numbers, side by side. How our calls have actually done is the public record, not one bout.
Show the numbers
| Series | Open | Low | High | Last capture | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Wellmaker — sportsbook consensus | 64.3% | 64.3% | 66.8% | 65.5% | +1.2pp |
| Otari Tanzilovi — sportsbook consensus | 35.7% | 33.2% | 35.7% | 34.5% | −1.2pp |
| Malcolm Wellmaker — Polymarket | 50.0% | 50.0% | 69.5% | 63.5% | +13.5pp |
| Otari Tanzilovi — Polymarket | 50.0% | 30.5% | 50.0% | 36.5% | −13.5pp |
Price history from Polymarket (moneyline, both corners) and BestFightOdds (sportsbook consensus, vig removed). 1,163 snapshots on file · window Oct 02 22:11–Oct 10 23:51Z · last capture Oct 10, 23:51Z · hourly-downsampled for the chart · read at build time from the price archive, not a live feed.