Reported prose from our newsroom. All-rounder
Rafael Tobias is 0-1 in the UFC. His one appearance on record came on March 7, 2026, when he lost a unanimous decision to Diyar Nurgozhay in a light heavyweight bout that went the full three rounds.
That fight was his promotional debut, and it is the only UFC bout in his file. He was not finished in it.
UFC 330 is his second UFC booking. Our dataset covers UFC fights only, so his record here reflects nothing he did outside the promotion. Inside it, the sample is one fight and one decision loss.
The facts, plainly — vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register. A field we can't source stays “pending”; it never shows a fake value.
| Nickname | pending |
| Nationality | Brazil |
| Hometown | Curitiba, Parana |
| Fighting out of | Chute Boxe Monstro |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Reach | 74.0" |
| Stance | Orthodox |
| Age | 23 |
| Date of birth | Mar 20, 2003 |
| Weight | 205 lbs. |
| Pro record | 14-3 |
| Finish split | pending |
Career averages over Rafael Tobias’s UFC bouts, straight from public UFC statistics — the same eight numbers on his official record. These are the source’s figures, not our read: what we make of them is the card below.
Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the Light Heavyweight field — not against the whole roster. Tap any i for what a score measures.
Every fight of Rafael Tobias’s that we called in the live 2026 season — whichever corner we called it for. Posted before the fight, graded after it.
FightIQ has called 2 of Rafael Tobias’s fights in 2026: 1 correct (1–1 — 50% right). Each call was posted before the fight and graded after it. The confidence % is the number we stood behind at the time — losses shown, toss-ups included.
| Date | Opponent | We called it for | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Lucas Fernando | Lucas Fernando (against Tobias) | 58.6% | Correct |
| 2026-03-07 | Diyar Nurgozhay | Rafael Tobias | 70.4% | Missed |
Where the strikes go — and where they land on him. Career UFC totals, straight off the tape.
Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
The level change — how often it lands, how often it is stopped. Career UFC rates, straight off the tape.
Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.96 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
Pro record: 14-3. In the UFC: 0-2. Rafael Tobias’s last 2 UFC bouts, most recent first — the result in the cage, not our pick.
Straight off the official UFC fight record. Card names are left off on purpose: the only event labels in our data are derived, and we’d rather print nothing than print one that’s wrong.
| Date | Opponent | Method | Rd | Event | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | L | Lucas Fernando | KO/TKO | R3 | UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry |
| 2026-03-07 | L | Diyar Nurgozhay | Decision (unanimous) | R3 | UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 |
Every date links to that bout’s own page. Card names come from the official event record; where the UFC ran two cards on one date, or that record has no row for it, the Event column is left empty rather than filled with a guess.
