Round 11 sub attemptEnded 2:15
3 of 7
Sig.
strikes
strikes
1 of 1
1 of 2
Take-
downs
downs
0 of 0
1:27
Control
0:00
1
Sub
attempts
attempts
0
Distance 3Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 1Clinch 0Ground 0
VSSettled
The story going in
- Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
- Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
- Has finished 6 of 8 UFC wins.
17-5-1
Record
8-4
−7 yr26
Age
33
+2″6' 1"
Height
5' 11"
+3″74″
Reach
71″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
+1113
UFC bouts
2
Combat Sport & Fitness
Gym
Syndicate MMA
Enumclaw, Washington
From
Orem, Utah
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.
The call vs the fight
What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.
Our call
Chase Hooper
77.5% confidentHIGH
The fight
Chase Hooper
WIN✗
Graded against the official UFC result, from
the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict
is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads
as one. See the full public record →
Round by round
Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.
UFCStats · per round
1 round of tape
Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.
How it ended
This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.
Won inside the distance
Chase Hooper
Round
1
Clock
2:15
Method
SUB
This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Blake Grice.
Takedowns
Takedowns
The level change — head to head
Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Chase Hooper
2.43 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.59 / 15m
7.59 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
1.79 / 15m
32%
ACCURACY
33%
2.10 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m
55%
TD DEFENCE
25%
Mitch Ramirez
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.22 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Ranked in Lightweight
The market story
What the market did on the way to the cage — the price, not our model. The gold marker is where our pick was frozen.
Chase HooperMitch RamirezPolymarketSportsbook consensus (vig removed)
From the open the market drifted toward our pick: Chase Hooper's implied chance moved up from 50% to 76% (+26.5pp). Our pick was frozen at the model cutoff, before this window opened — so the gold marker sits at the first snapshot we hold, not at a price we were reacting to.
Our published call had Chase Hooper at 77.5%. At the last price we captured before the fight, the de-vigged market had him at 76.5% — our number sat 1.0pp above the market’s. Two numbers, side by side. How our calls have actually done is the public record, not one bout.
Show the numbers
| Series | Open | Low | High | Last capture | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Hooper — sportsbook consensus | 53.0% | 50.0% | 76.2% | 75.2% | +22.2pp |
| Mitch Ramirez — sportsbook consensus | 46.9% | 23.8% | 50.0% | 24.8% | −22.2pp |
| Chase Hooper — Polymarket | 50.0% | 43.5% | 80.5% | 76.5% | +26.5pp |
| Mitch Ramirez — Polymarket | 50.0% | 19.5% | 56.5% | 23.5% | −26.5pp |
Price history from Polymarket (moneyline, both corners) and BestFightOdds (sportsbook consensus, vig removed). 2,404 snapshots on file · window Jul 07 20:12–Jul 18 23:57Z · last capture Jul 18, 23:57Z · hourly-downsampled for the chart · read at build time from the price archive, not a live feed.