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Events · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Malott · Julien Leblanc vs Robert Valentin
Red corner JulienLeblancPatenaude Martial Arts · Gatineau, Quebec
VSSettled
Blue corner RobertValentinFight Move Academy · Zurich
Middleweight3 rounds18 Apr 2026
The story going in
  • Carries 13 points more striking defence than Valentin.
  • Has dropped 3 straight in the UFC.
  • Carries 55 points more takedown defence than Leblanc.
10-3
Record
13-6
34
Age
−3 yr31
6' 2"
Height
6' 2"
74″
Reach
+3″77″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Patenaude Martial Arts
Gym
Fight Move Academy
Gatineau, Quebec
From
Zurich
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Julien Leblanc
59.8% confidentLOW
Method calledKO/TKO 43%
Vs the market+7.2pp
Market had our pick at53%
The fight
Robert Valentin
LOSS
How it endedSUB
Round1 of 3
Clock2:22
Missed We called Julien Leblanc at 59.8%Robert Valentin won. The method call missed as well.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 12:22 of action1 sub attemptEnded 2:22
Julien Leblanc4 sig landed
HEAD25%1 of 3BODY50%2 of 2LEGS25%1 of 1
Robert Valentin7 sig landed
HEAD14%1 of 7BODY29%2 of 2LEGS57%4 of 4
4 of 6
Sig.
strikes
7 of 13
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:00
Control
1:42
0
Sub
attempts
1
Distance 4Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 7Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Robert Valentin

Round
1
Clock
2:22
Method
SUB

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Chris Desautels.

Takedowns

Takedowns

Robert Valentin

The level change — how often it lands, how often it is stopped. Career UFC rates, straight off the tape.

0.59takedowns / 15 min
FightIQ read Submission hunter 1.80 submission attempts per 15 minutes — +0.24 on the field average.
Career ratesvs field average
TAKEDOWNS15
0.59 / 15m−1.68 vs field
ATTEMPTS10
1.18 / 15m−4.14 vs field
ACCURACY69
50%+3pp vs field
SUB ATT77
1.80 / 15m+0.24 vs field

Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (6.86 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Ranked in Middleweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Julien Leblanc↓ −21.3pp
open 61.0%close 39.6%
Robert Valentin↑ +21.3pp
open 39.0%close 60.4%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Julien Leblanc opened at 61.0% and closed at 39.6% (−21.3pp), with Robert Valentin moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Our published call had Julien Leblanc at 59.8%. At the closing consensus, the de-vigged market had him at 39.6% — our number sat 20.2pp above the market’s. Two numbers, side by side. How our calls have actually done is the public record, not one bout.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Julien Leblanc-17214061.0%39.6%−21.3pp
Robert Valentin147-17439.0%60.4%+21.3pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
← Back to the public record