- Has dropped 4 straight in the UFC.
- Comes in on a 3-fight win streak.
- Has finished 8 of 15 UFC wins.
- Has finished 4 of 6 UFC wins.
The call vs the fight
What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.
Round by round
Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.
No round-by-round tape on file
UFCStats has no per-round record for this bout, so there is no timeline to draw. The result and the finish and our graded call above are unaffected — this is a hole in the round-by-round tape, and we will not fill it in from the fight totals.
How it ended
This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.
Mike Malott
This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened.
Takedowns
The level change — head to head
Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Gilbert Burns
Mike Malott
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (4.97 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
The market story
Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.
Gilbert Burns opened at 25.7% and closed at 30.0% (+4.3pp), with Mike Malott moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.
Our published call had Mike Malott at 78.0%. At the closing consensus, the de-vigged market had him at 70.0% — our number sat 8.0pp above the market’s. Two numbers, side by side. How our calls have actually done is the public record, not one bout.
Show the numbers
| Corner | Open (US) | Close (US) | Open % | Close % | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Burns | 275 | 222 | 25.7% | 30.0% | +4.3pp |
| Mike Malott | -335 | -264 | 74.3% | 70.0% | −4.3pp |