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Events · UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs Fortune · Chase Hooper vs Lance Gibson Jr.
Red corner ChaseHooper“The Dream”Combat Sport & Fitness · Enumclaw, Washington
VSSettled
Blue corner Lance GibsonJr.Gibson Kickboxing & Pankration · Port Moody, British Columbia
Lightweight Bout3 rounds28 Mar 2026
The story going in
  • Has finished 6 of 8 UFC wins.
  • Carries 17 points more striking defence than Hooper.
  • 12 UFC bouts deep — 11 more than Jr..
17-5-1
Record
10-2
−5 yr26
Age
31
+4″6' 1"
Height
5' 9"
+2″74″
Reach
72″
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
+1112
UFC bouts
1
Combat Sport & Fitness
Gym
Gibson Kickboxing & Pankration
Enumclaw, Washington
From
Port Moody, British Columbia
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Chase Hooper
73.9% confidentHIGH
Method calledDEC 54%
Vs the market+3.7pp
Market had our pick at70%
The fight
Lance Gibson Jr.
LOSS
How it endedKO/TKO
Round1 of 3
Clock2:56
Missed We called Chase Hooper at 73.9%Lance Gibson Jr. won. The method call missed as well.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 12:56 of action⚡ 1 KD Jr.Ended 2:56
Chase Hooper11 sig landed
HEAD27%3 of 18BODY45%5 of 8LEGS27%3 of 6
Lance Gibson Jr.13 sig landed
HEAD46%6 of 13BODY15%2 of 3LEGS38%5 of 6
11 of 32
Sig.
strikes
13 of 22
0 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:06
Control
0:07
0
Knock-
downs
1
Distance 11Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 7Clinch 6Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Lance Gibson Jr.

Round
1
Clock
2:56
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Blake Grice.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Chase Hooper

2.43takedowns / 15 min
2.43 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.67 / 15m
7.59 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
2.53 / 15m
32%
ACCURACY
66%
2.10 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

Lance Gibson Jr.

1.67takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.22 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Lightweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Chase Hooperclose only
no opening line on recordclose 73.4%
Lance Gibson Jr.close only
no opening line on recordclose 26.6%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

We hold the closing consensus for this bout but no opening line, so the strip marks the close alone: Chase Hooper 73.4%, Lance Gibson Jr. 26.6%, vig removed.

Our published call had Chase Hooper at 73.9%. At the closing consensus, the de-vigged market had him at 73.4% — our number sat 0.5pp above the market’s. Two numbers, side by side. How our calls have actually done is the public record, not one bout.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Chase Hooper-350-33973.4%
Lance Gibson Jr.25726.6%
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-08-30 · BestFightOdds has no fighter page scraped for Lance Gibson Jr, so that corner’s CLOSE is read from the opponent’s row, which names it explicitly. No opening line exists for that corner and none is shown.. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
← Back to the public record