Round 1
44 of 83
Sig.
strikes
strikes
40 of 94
0 of 0
Take-
downs
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:36
Distance 44Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 40Clinch 0Ground 0
VSSettled
9-0
Record
13-5-1
−8 yr23
Age
31
5' 8"
Height
5' 8"
+1″72″
Reach
71″
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Lions Den Academy
Gym
Middlesbrough Fight Academy
Rabat
From
Middlesbrough, North Yorkshire
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.
The call vs the fight
What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.
Our call
Marwan Rahiki
75.5% confidentHIGH
The fight
Marwan Rahiki
WIN✓
Graded against the official UFC result, from
the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict
is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads
as one. See the full public record →
Round by round
Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.
UFCStats · per round
2 rounds of tape
Round 2Ended 5:00
46 of 81
Sig.
strikes
strikes
25 of 55
0 of 0
Take-
downs
downs
0 of 1
1:35
Control
0:08
Distance 44Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 25Clinch 0Ground 0
Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.
How it ended
This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.
Won inside the distance
Marwan Rahiki
Round
2
Clock
5:00
Method
KO/TKO
This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Eric McMahon.
Takedowns
Takedowns
Marwan Rahiki
The level change — how often it lands, how often it is stopped. Career UFC rates, straight off the tape.
FightIQ read
Rarely shoots
0.00 takedowns landed per 15 minutes — −2.36 on the field average.
Career ratesvs field average
TAKEDOWNS
0.00 / 15m−2.36 vs field
ATTEMPTS
Attempts per 15 needs both a landed rate and a completion rate; one of them is missing, so we do not divide.
n/a
ACCURACY
No takedown attempt on the record — UFCStats writes 0% here, which is not a completion rate.
n/a
SUB ATT50
0.80 / 15m−0.47 vs field
TD DEFENCE100
100%+37pp vs field
Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.73 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
Ranked in Featherweight
The market story
Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.
Marwan Rahiki↑ +7.1pp
open 64.3%close 71.3%
Harry Hardwick↓ −7.1pp
open 35.7%close 28.7%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)
Marwan Rahiki opened at 64.3% and closed at 71.3% (+7.1pp), with Harry Hardwick moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.
Our published call had Marwan Rahiki at 75.5%. At the closing consensus, the de-vigged market had him at 71.3% — our number sat 4.2pp above the market’s. Two numbers, side by side. How our calls have actually done is the public record, not one bout.
Show the numbers
| Corner | Open (US) | Close (US) | Open % | Close % | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marwan Rahiki | -200 | -296 | 64.3% | 71.3% | +7.1pp |
| Harry Hardwick | 170 | 233 | 35.7% | 28.7% | −7.1pp |
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.