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Events · UFC Fight Night: Petrino vs Asplund · Elijah Smith vs SuYoung You
Red corner ElijahSmith“Swift”Team Victory · Colorado Springs, Colorado
VSSettled
Blue corner SuYoungYou
Bantamweight Bout3 rounds14 Mar 2026
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Comes in on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Lands 2.0 more significant strikes a minute than You.
  • Carries 22 points more striking defence than Smith.
10-1
Record
16-4
−7 yr23
Age
30
+3″5' 9"
Height
5' 6"
+6″71″
Reach
65″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2
UFC bouts
+13
1/250% of wins
Finishes
0/30% of wins
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Elijah Smith
61.9% confidentMED
Method calledDEC 64%
Vs the market+11.9pp
Market had our pick at50%
The fight
Elijah Smith
WIN
How it endedSUB
Round2 of 3
Clock1:04
Called it We called Elijah Smith at 61.9% and Elijah Smith won. The method call missed.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

2 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Elijah Smith3 sig landed
HEAD33%1 of 4BODY33%1 of 1LEGS33%1 of 1
SuYoung You1 sig landed
HEAD100%1 of 1BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
3 of 6
Sig.
strikes
1 of 1
0 of 0
Take-
downs
4 of 7
1:19
Control
2:42
0
Knock-
downs
0
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 2Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 1Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 21:04 of action⚡ 1 KD Smith1 sub attemptEnded 1:04
Elijah Smith13 sig landed
HEAD100%13 of 21BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
SuYoung You2 sig landed
HEAD100%2 of 2BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
13 of 21
Sig.
strikes
2 of 2
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:16
Control
0:00
1
Knock-
downs
0
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 3Clinch 2Ground 8
Where it
happened
Distance 2Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Elijah Smith

Round
2
Clock
1:04
Method
SUB

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Herb Dean.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Elijah Smith

2.98takedowns / 15 min
2.98 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
4.26 / 15m
5.62 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
9.06 / 15m
53%
ACCURACY
47%
1.10 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.40 / 15m

SuYoung You

4.26takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.45 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Bantamweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Elijah Smith↑ +1.1pp
open 68.9%close 70.0%
SuYoung You↓ −1.1pp
open 31.1%close 30.0%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Elijah Smith opened at 68.9% and closed at 70.0% (+1.1pp), with SuYoung You moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Our published call had Elijah Smith at 61.9%. At the closing consensus, the de-vigged market had him at 70.0% — our number sat 8.1pp below the market’s. Two numbers, side by side. How our calls have actually done is the public record, not one bout.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Elijah Smith-250-27068.9%70.0%+1.1pp
SuYoung You21022031.1%30.0%−1.1pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
← Back to the public record