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History · 2021 · UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · Nick Diaz vs Robbie Lawler
From the tape · 25 Sep 2021

Nick Diaz vs Robbie Lawler

UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Robbie Lawler beat Nick Diaz

Method
KO/TKO
Round
3 of 5
Clock
0:44
Middleweight

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

ND
Red corner NickDiazCesar Gracie Fight Team · Stockton, California
VSOn the tape
RL
Blue corner RobbieLawler“Ruthless”Kill Cliff FC · San Diego, California
Middleweight5 rounds25 Sep 2021
The story going in
  • Has finished 6 of 7 UFC wins.
  • Has dropped 4 straight in the UFC.
  • Lands 1.9 more significant strikes a minute than Lawler.
  • Has finished 6 of 13 UFC wins.
26-10
Record
30-16
−1 yr38
Age
39
+2″6' 1"
Height
5' 11"
+2″76″
Reach
74″
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
14
UFC bouts
+822
+40%6/786% of wins
Finishes
6/1346% of wins
Cesar Gracie Fight Team
Gym
Kill Cliff FC
Stockton, California
From
San Diego, California
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

No round-by-round tape on file

UFCStats has no per-round record for this bout, so there is no timeline to draw. The result and the finish above are unaffected — this is a hole in the round-by-round tape, and we will not fill it in from the fight totals.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Robbie Lawler

Round
3
Clock
0:44
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Nick Diaz

1.28takedowns / 15 min
1.28 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.65 / 15m
4.00 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
1.02 / 15m
32%
ACCURACY
64%
1.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

Robbie Lawler

0.65takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.32 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked roster-wide

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Nick Diaz↑ +9.7pp
open 31.1%close 40.8%
Robbie Lawler↓ −9.7pp
open 68.9%close 59.2%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Nick Diaz opened at 31.1% and closed at 40.8% (+9.7pp), with Robbie Lawler moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Nick Diaz21013431.1%40.8%+9.7pp
Robbie Lawler-250-16368.9%59.2%−9.7pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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