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History · 2015 · UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor · Max Holloway vs Jeremy Stephens
From the tape · 12 Dec 2015

Max Holloway vs Jeremy Stephens

UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Max Holloway beat Jeremy Stephens

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
FeatherweightMain cardReferee · Herb Dean

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner MaxHolloway“Blessed”Waianae, Hawaii
VSOn the tape
Blue corner JeremyStephens“Lil' Heathen”Alliance MMA · Des Moines, Iowa
Featherweight3 rounds12 Dec 2015
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 7-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 6 of 11 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 7 of 10 UFC wins.
  • 21 UFC bouts deep — 8 more than Holloway.
28-9
Record
29-23
−5 yr24
Age
29
+2″5' 11"
Height
5' 9"
69″
Reach
+2″71″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
13
UFC bouts
+821
+15%7/1070% of wins
Finishes
6/1155% of wins
Waianae, Hawaii
From
Des Moines, Iowa
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Max Holloway15 sig landed
HEAD60%9 of 19BODY27%4 of 8LEGS13%2 of 2
Jeremy Stephens15 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 8BODY7%1 of 2LEGS93%14 of 15
15 of 29
Sig.
strikes
15 of 25
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 5
1:10
Control
0:00
Distance 15Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 15Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Holloway firstJunichiro Kamijo9–10Chris Lee10–9Glenn Trowbridge10–9
Round 25:00 of action
Max Holloway16 sig landed
HEAD62%10 of 25BODY31%5 of 5LEGS6%1 of 1
Jeremy Stephens11 sig landed
HEAD18%2 of 14BODY36%4 of 6LEGS45%5 of 6
16 of 31
Sig.
strikes
11 of 26
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 5
1:38
Control
0:00
Distance 11Clinch 5Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 10Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Holloway firstJunichiro Kamijo10–9Chris Lee10–9Glenn Trowbridge10–9
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Max Holloway26 sig landed
HEAD81%21 of 33BODY12%3 of 4LEGS8%2 of 2
Jeremy Stephens21 sig landed
HEAD48%10 of 33BODY29%6 of 6LEGS24%5 of 5
26 of 39
Sig.
strikes
21 of 44
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 2
0:38
Control
2:09
Distance 16Clinch 1Ground 9
Where it
happened
Distance 20Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Holloway firstJunichiro Kamijo10–9Chris Lee10–9Glenn Trowbridge10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Herb Dean
Max HollowayJeremy Stephens
Official totals — Max Holloway first
JudgeTotal
Junichiro Kamijo2.0 avg spread · 43% wide29–28
Chris Lee2.0 avg spread · 44% wide30–27
Glenn Trowbridge2.1 avg spread · 47% wide30–27

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 17 scored, Max Holloway first · unofficial

Nick Baldwin BloodyElbow.com30–27
Luke Thomas MMAFighting.com30–27
Chris Nelson Sherdog.com30–27
TJ DeSantis Sherdog.com30–27
Jordan Breen Sherdog.com30–27
MM AJunkie.com30–27
Craig Amos BleacherReport.com30–27
MM ABrasil.com.br30–27
Pundit Arena.com30–27
Jason Floyd TheMMAReport.com30–27
Tim Burke BloodyElbow.com30–27
Paul Fontaine WrestlingObserver.com30–27
John Pollock Fight Network30–27
Rob Tatum CombatPress.com30–27
Dallas Winston BloodyElbow.com30–28
Dave Meltzer Wrestling Observer29–28
MM AMania.com29–28

Fan vote · unofficial

30-27 Holloway · 58%29-28 Holloway · 26%30-28 Holloway · 7%29-28 Stephens · 5%30-26 Holloway · 4%

57 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Max Holloway

0.23takedowns / 15 min
0.23 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.10 / 15m
0.43 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
2.89 / 15m
53%
ACCURACY
38%
0.30 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.40 / 15m

Jeremy Stephens

1.10takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.22 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Lightweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Max Holloway↑ +7.1pp
open 71.8%close 78.8%
Jeremy Stephens↓ −7.1pp
open 28.2%close 21.2%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Max Holloway opened at 71.8% and closed at 78.8% (+7.1pp), with Jeremy Stephens moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Max Holloway-315-45071.8%78.8%+7.1pp
Jeremy Stephens23535528.2%21.2%−7.1pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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