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FightIQ · Record · Myktybek Orolbai
Myktybek Orolbai
16-3-1tale of the tape = factsmetrics = our read

Profile FightIQ Newsroom

Reported prose from our newsroom. Wrestle-submission

Pro record16-3-1
Current streak1 loss
Last 5 (UFC)L W W W L
DivisionWelterweight
Age28
Height5' 10"
StanceOrthodox

Myktybek Orolbai is 5-1 in the UFC through six fights. He debuted on Nov. 18, 2023.

He beat Elves Brener by unanimous decision in a lightweight bout on May 4, 2024. His only loss on record came on Oct. 26, 2024, a split decision to Mateusz Rebecki at a catchweight.

Three wins have followed. Orolbai submitted Tofiq Musayev in the first round at a catchweight on June 21, 2025, then knocked out Jack Hermansson in the first round on Nov. 22, 2025, in a welterweight bout. He beat Chris Curtis by unanimous decision over three rounds at welterweight on March 14, 2026.

That run tracks a move up in weight. His last two fights on record were booked at welterweight, after earlier bouts at lightweight and catchweight. He is 4-1 in his last five.

Written 2026-08-15 · ahead of UFC 330 — Makhachev vs Machado Garry. News (#18) — checked against the fight record before publication. The figures above the story are recomputed every build from the official fight record.

Tale of the tape facts

The facts, plainly — vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register. A field we can't source stays “pending”; it never shows a fake value.

Nicknamepending
NationalityKyrgyzstan
HometownOsh
Fighting out ofpending
Height5' 10"
Reach74.0"
StanceOrthodox
Age28
Date of birthFeb 10, 1998
Weight170 lbs.
Pro record16-3-1
Finish split5 UFC wins — 1 KO/TKO, 2 submission, 2 decision

Career rates facts

Career averages over Myktybek Orolbai’s UFC bouts, straight from public UFC statistics — the same eight numbers on his official record. These are the source’s figures, not our read: what we make of them is the card below.

Striking
Strikes landed / min2.78
Striking accuracy50%
Strikes absorbed / min2.70
Striking defence51%
Grappling
Takedowns / 15 min8.77
Takedown accuracy59%
Takedown defence40%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.50

FightIQ Metrics

Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the Welterweight field — not against the whole roster. Tap any i for what a score measures.

FightIQ's read — derived from the tape
Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within Welterweight.
Striking65
Defence56
Grappling / TD71
Cardio38
Chin77
Fight IQ61

Our calls on Myktybek Orolbai’s fights

Every fight of Myktybek Orolbai’s that we called in the live 2026 season — whichever corner we called it for. Posted before the fight, graded after it.

FightIQ has called 2 of Myktybek Orolbai’s fights in 2026: 1 correct (1–1 — 50% right). Each call was posted before the fight and graded after it. The confidence % is the number we stood behind at the time — losses shown, toss-ups included.

DateOpponentWe called it forConfidenceResult
2026-08-15Jeremiah WellsMyktybek Orolbai76.9%Missed
2026-03-14Chris CurtisMyktybek Orolbai76.4%Correct
back-tested

Across our full back-tested history we called 5 of Myktybek Orolbai’s fights, 4 correct. Back-tested, not part of the public timestamped record: these were computed after the fact, so they show the model working on old cards — they were never published ahead of those fights.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Myktybek Orolbai

Where the strikes go — and where they land on him. Career UFC totals, straight off the tape.

HEAD76.1%ACC 48%BODY13.2%ACC 72%LEGS10.7%ACC 75%
FightIQ read Head-first striker 76.1% upstairs — +13.8 on the field average, with the rest spread below.
Share by zonevs field average
HEAD
76.1% acc 48%+13.8 vs field
BODY
13.2% acc 72%−7.9 vs field
LEGS
10.7% acc 75%−5.9 vs field
Where the offence happens
DISTANCE 62%CLINCH 3%GROUND 36%

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

7 UFC fights · 197 landed

Takedowns

Takedowns

Myktybek Orolbai

The level change — how often it lands, how often it is stopped. Career UFC rates, straight off the tape.

8.77takedowns / 15 min
FightIQ read Volume wrestler 8.77 takedowns landed per 15 minutes — +6.78 on the field average.
Career ratesvs field average
TAKEDOWNS99
8.77 / 15m+6.78 vs field
ATTEMPTS99
14.86 / 15m+9.93 vs field
ACCURACY80
59%+13pp vs field
SUB ATT33
0.50 / 15m−0.82 vs field

Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (4.97 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Ranked in Welterweight

Recent form

Pro record: 16-3-1. In the UFC: 5-2. Myktybek Orolbai’s last 7 UFC bouts, most recent first — the result in the cage, not our pick.

Straight off the official UFC fight record. Card names are left off on purpose: the only event labels in our data are derived, and we’d rather print nothing than print one that’s wrong.

Full UFC career — 7 bouts every fight on the official record, newest first
DateOpponentMethodRdEvent
2026-08-15LJeremiah WellsSubmissionR3UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
2026-03-14WChris CurtisDecision (unanimous)R3UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
2025-11-22WJack HermanssonKO/TKOR1UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
2025-06-21WTofiq MusayevSubmissionR1UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
2024-10-26LMateusz RebeckiDecision (split)R3UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
2024-05-04WElves BrenerDecision (unanimous)R3UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
2023-11-18WUros MedicSubmissionR2UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig

Every date links to that bout’s own page. Card names come from the official event record; where the UFC ran two cards on one date, or that record has no row for it, the Event column is left empty rather than filled with a guess.

← See the full public record